Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the clear frontrunner at 67.5% implied probability for 2026's highest worldwide gross, fueled by its prime July 31 summer blockbuster slot, MCU synergy following No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul, and surging early presales amid Tom Holland's emotional promo tour. Current box office leader The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, with $942 million worldwide since its April 1 release, boasts strong family legs (3.14x opening) but faces slowdown in its third weekend at $35 million, capping projections below Spider-Man's anticipated opening weekend explosion. Avengers: Doomsday holds second at 16.5% on Russo brothers' pedigree and exceptional long-lead tracking, though December 18 timing risks holiday competition and reshoots; watch July premieres and tracking updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年票房最高的电影?
2026年票房最高的电影?
蜘蛛侠:全新一天 68%
复仇者联盟:末日审判 17%
超级马里奥银河电影 6.2%
玩具总动员5 3.4%
$6,993,479 交易量
$6,993,479 交易量
蜘蛛侠:全新一天
68%
复仇者联盟:末日审判
17%
超级马里奥银河电影
6%
玩具总动员5
3%
奥德赛
2%
星球大战:曼达洛人和格罗古
1%
迈克尔
1%
沙丘:弥赛亚
1%
魔法坏女巫:为善
1%
饥饿游戏:收获的黎明
1%
呼啸山庄
1%
勇敢者游戏3
1%
惊声尖叫7
<1%
海尔·玛丽计划
<1%
蜘蛛侠:全新一天 68%
复仇者联盟:末日审判 17%
超级马里奥银河电影 6.2%
玩具总动员5 3.4%
$6,993,479 交易量
$6,993,479 交易量
蜘蛛侠:全新一天
68%
复仇者联盟:末日审判
17%
超级马里奥银河电影
6%
玩具总动员5
3%
奥德赛
2%
星球大战:曼达洛人和格罗古
1%
迈克尔
1%
沙丘:弥赛亚
1%
魔法坏女巫:为善
1%
饥饿游戏:收获的黎明
1%
呼啸山庄
1%
勇敢者游戏3
1%
惊声尖叫7
<1%
海尔·玛丽计划
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the clear frontrunner at 67.5% implied probability for 2026's highest worldwide gross, fueled by its prime July 31 summer blockbuster slot, MCU synergy following No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul, and surging early presales amid Tom Holland's emotional promo tour. Current box office leader The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, with $942 million worldwide since its April 1 release, boasts strong family legs (3.14x opening) but faces slowdown in its third weekend at $35 million, capping projections below Spider-Man's anticipated opening weekend explosion. Avengers: Doomsday holds second at 16.5% on Russo brothers' pedigree and exceptional long-lead tracking, though December 18 timing risks holiday competition and reshoots; watch July premieres and tracking updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题