The market for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor reflects a wide-open race with no dominant frontrunner, as traders assign comparable implied probabilities across multiple contenders including John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Andrew Scott. Early positioning hinges on 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and initial critical reception rather than established momentum. Historical voting patterns show that guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and precursors often consolidate support later in the cycle, while box office performance and industry narrative can elevate dark horses. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts and early awards buzz will likely sharpen the field before voting begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年奥斯卡：最佳男主角
2027年奥斯卡：最佳男主角
约翰·马尔科维奇 31.7%
马特·达蒙 27%
安德鲁·斯科特 18%
汤姆·克鲁斯 14%
$117,480 交易量
$117,480 交易量
2027-03-14
约翰·马尔科维奇
32%
马特·达蒙
27%
安德鲁·斯科特
18%
汤姆·克鲁斯
14%
罗伯特·帕丁森
9%
杰瑞米·斯特朗
3%
塞巴斯蒂安·斯坦
2%
瑞恩·高斯林
2%
提莫西·查拉梅
1%
贾法尔·杰克逊
1%
萨姆·洛克威尔
1%
佩德罗·帕斯卡
<1%
哈维尔·巴登
<1%
亚当·德赖弗
<1%
布拉德·皮特
<1%
罗伯特·阿拉马约
<1%
约翰·特托罗
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
<1%
约翰·马尔科维奇 31.7%
马特·达蒙 27%
安德鲁·斯科特 18%
汤姆·克鲁斯 14%
$117,480 交易量
$117,480 交易量
2027-03-14
约翰·马尔科维奇
$8,856 交易量
32%
马特·达蒙
$34,097 交易量
27%
安德鲁·斯科特
$12,225 交易量
18%
汤姆·克鲁斯
$11,178 交易量
14%
罗伯特·帕丁森
$4,364 交易量
9%
杰瑞米·斯特朗
$4,039 交易量
3%
塞巴斯蒂安·斯坦
$2,765 交易量
2%
瑞恩·高斯林
$4,778 交易量
2%
提莫西·查拉梅
$3,693 交易量
1%
贾法尔·杰克逊
$4,211 交易量
1%
萨姆·洛克威尔
$4,572 交易量
1%
佩德罗·帕斯卡
$3,076 交易量
<1%
哈维尔·巴登
$2,900 交易量
<1%
亚当·德赖弗
$2,373 交易量
<1%
布拉德·皮特
$8,112 交易量
<1%
罗伯特·阿拉马约
$3,115 交易量
<1%
约翰·特托罗
$1,587 交易量
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
$1,537 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor reflects a wide-open race with no dominant frontrunner, as traders assign comparable implied probabilities across multiple contenders including John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Andrew Scott. Early positioning hinges on 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and initial critical reception rather than established momentum. Historical voting patterns show that guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and precursors often consolidate support later in the cycle, while box office performance and industry narrative can elevate dark horses. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts and early awards buzz will likely sharpen the field before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
交易量
$117,480结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor reflects a wide-open race with no dominant frontrunner, as traders assign comparable implied probabilities across multiple contenders including John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Andrew Scott. Early positioning hinges on 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and initial critical reception rather than established momentum. Historical voting patterns show that guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and precursors often consolidate support later in the cycle, while box office performance and industry narrative can elevate dark horses. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts and early awards buzz will likely sharpen the field before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$117,480结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETThe market for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor reflects a wide-open race with no dominant frontrunner, as traders assign comparable implied probabilities across multiple contenders including John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Andrew Scott. Early positioning hinges on 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and initial critical reception rather than established momentum. Historical voting patterns show that guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and precursors often consolidate support later in the cycle, while box office performance and industry narrative can elevate dark horses. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts and early awards buzz will likely sharpen the field before voting begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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