Jack Lowden leads trader consensus at 37.9% implied probability following recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-stars Gary Oldman and others highlighting his spy-genre experience as River Cartwright, combined with screenwriter Steven Knight confirming the role has been cast for the Denis Villeneuve-directed Bond 26. A shortlist reportedly featuring Lowden alongside Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, Paul Mescal, and surprise contender Jack Barton (11.8%) reflects producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman’s methodical search for a younger British actor, with screen tests and final decisions advancing this summer. The 17.8% on “No Bond chosen” captures uncertainty over whether an official announcement arrives before year-end, as Pascal indicated, amid high-stakes franchise reboot dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
杰克·劳登 37.9%
尚未选定邦德 17.8%
杰克·巴顿 11.7%
卡勒姆·特纳 10.5%
$784,678 交易量
$784,678 交易量
杰克·劳登
38%
尚未选定邦德
18%
杰克·巴顿
12%
卡勒姆·特纳
11%
杰克·奥康奈尔
4%
汤姆·弗朗西斯
3%
哈里斯·迪金森
3%
理查德·麦登
2%
雅各布·艾洛迪
1%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
1%
提莫西·查拉梅
1%
乔纳森·贝利
1%
西奥·詹姆斯
1%
亨利·卡维尔
<1%
汤姆·哈迪
<1%
汤姆·布莱思
<1%
詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
尼古拉斯·加利茨因
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
迈克尔·B·乔丹
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
杰克·劳登 37.9%
尚未选定邦德 17.8%
杰克·巴顿 11.7%
卡勒姆·特纳 10.5%
$784,678 交易量
$784,678 交易量
杰克·劳登
38%
尚未选定邦德
18%
杰克·巴顿
12%
卡勒姆·特纳
11%
杰克·奥康奈尔
4%
汤姆·弗朗西斯
3%
哈里斯·迪金森
3%
理查德·麦登
2%
雅各布·艾洛迪
1%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
1%
提莫西·查拉梅
1%
乔纳森·贝利
1%
西奥·詹姆斯
1%
亨利·卡维尔
<1%
汤姆·哈迪
<1%
汤姆·布莱思
<1%
詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
尼古拉斯·加利茨因
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
迈克尔·B·乔丹
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jack Lowden leads trader consensus at 37.9% implied probability following recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-stars Gary Oldman and others highlighting his spy-genre experience as River Cartwright, combined with screenwriter Steven Knight confirming the role has been cast for the Denis Villeneuve-directed Bond 26. A shortlist reportedly featuring Lowden alongside Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, Paul Mescal, and surprise contender Jack Barton (11.8%) reflects producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman’s methodical search for a younger British actor, with screen tests and final decisions advancing this summer. The 17.8% on “No Bond chosen” captures uncertainty over whether an official announcement arrives before year-end, as Pascal indicated, amid high-stakes franchise reboot dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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