Elon Musk's high-volume posting on X continues to shape trader expectations for the August 14–21 window, with historical patterns showing daily averages often exceeding 30–50 posts amid business updates, AI commentary, and real-time reactions. The tight contest between the 140–159 and 160–179 brackets reflects uncertainty around his exact cadence this week, influenced by ongoing company developments at Tesla and xAI that could trigger spikes or lulls. Market-implied odds highlight how modest shifts in daily output—driven by engagement with viral topics or major announcements—could swing resolution between these frontrunners. Traders monitor real-time activity closely, as even small variations in reply threads or media shares differentiate outcomes in this competitive range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于140-159 27%
160-179 25%
120-139 20.0%
180-199 15%
$854,039 交易量
$854,039 交易量
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
27%
160-179
25%
180-199
15%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 27%
160-179 25%
120-139 20.0%
180-199 15%
$854,039 交易量
$854,039 交易量
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
27%
160-179
25%
180-199
15%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's high-volume posting on X continues to shape trader expectations for the August 14–21 window, with historical patterns showing daily averages often exceeding 30–50 posts amid business updates, AI commentary, and real-time reactions. The tight contest between the 140–159 and 160–179 brackets reflects uncertainty around his exact cadence this week, influenced by ongoing company developments at Tesla and xAI that could trigger spikes or lulls. Market-implied odds highlight how modest shifts in daily output—driven by engagement with viral topics or major announcements—could swing resolution between these frontrunners. Traders monitor real-time activity closely, as even small variations in reply threads or media shares differentiate outcomes in this competitive range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题