Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026, Senate race according to recent August polling averages that place him at 18-34% first-round support, well ahead of rivals. Traders assign him elevated implied probability for first place due to his statewide name recognition, alignment with the Liberal Party's right-leaning base in a state that has favored similar candidates, and visible campaign momentum including alliances with figures such as Capitão Contar. Lower-priced options including Valderi Garcia (PCO), Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya reflect their trailing poll numbers and narrower paths in a field with more than a dozen declared or potential contenders. No major late-breaking shifts have altered the current ordering in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾 78%
Valderi Garcia 7.0%
卡皮唐·康塔 6%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥 4.8%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
78%
Valderi Garcia
7%
卡皮唐·康塔
6%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥
5%
范德·卢贝特
5%
罗伯托·大城
4%
索拉娅
3%
瓦尔特·达·科马格兰
3%
贝托·杜·莫维门图
3%
Luiz Lemes
3%
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾 78%
Valderi Garcia 7.0%
卡皮唐·康塔 6%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥 4.8%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
$540 交易量
78%
Valderi Garcia
$43 交易量
7%
卡皮唐·康塔
$55 交易量
6%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥
$43 交易量
5%
范德·卢贝特
$43 交易量
5%
罗伯托·大城
$114 交易量
4%
索拉娅
$43 交易量
3%
瓦尔特·达·科马格兰
$112 交易量
3%
贝托·杜·莫维门图
$43 交易量
3%
Luiz Lemes
$64 交易量
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026, Senate race according to recent August polling averages that place him at 18-34% first-round support, well ahead of rivals. Traders assign him elevated implied probability for first place due to his statewide name recognition, alignment with the Liberal Party's right-leaning base in a state that has favored similar candidates, and visible campaign momentum including alliances with figures such as Capitão Contar. Lower-priced options including Valderi Garcia (PCO), Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya reflect their trailing poll numbers and narrower paths in a field with more than a dozen declared or potential contenders. No major late-breaking shifts have altered the current ordering in the past week.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,100结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026, Senate race according to recent August polling averages that place him at 18-34% first-round support, well ahead of rivals. Traders assign him elevated implied probability for first place due to his statewide name recognition, alignment with the Liberal Party's right-leaning base in a state that has favored similar candidates, and visible campaign momentum including alliances with figures such as Capitão Contar. Lower-priced options including Valderi Garcia (PCO), Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya reflect their trailing poll numbers and narrower paths in a field with more than a dozen declared or potential contenders. No major late-breaking shifts have altered the current ordering in the past week.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,100结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026, Senate race according to recent August polling averages that place him at 18-34% first-round support, well ahead of rivals. Traders assign him elevated implied probability for first place due to his statewide name recognition, alignment with the Liberal Party's right-leaning base in a state that has favored similar candidates, and visible campaign momentum including alliances with figures such as Capitão Contar. Lower-priced options including Valderi Garcia (PCO), Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya reflect their trailing poll numbers and narrower paths in a field with more than a dozen declared or potential contenders. No major late-breaking shifts have altered the current ordering in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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