Recent August 2026 polls for Mato Grosso do Sul’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leading first-place intentions while Capitão Contar (PL), Nelsinho Trad (PSD), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) cluster closely behind for the remaining position. With candidacy registrations now closed, the second seat remains open due to intra-PL competition, variable voter consolidation across center-right and opposition blocs, and limited name recognition for several contenders. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, assigning elevated probabilities across multiple names until clearer polling trends or campaign momentum separate the field ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡皮唐·孔塔尔 40%
罗伯托·大城 27%
Vander Loubet 26%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥尔 25%

卡皮唐·孔塔尔
40%

罗伯托·大城
27%

Vander Loubet
26%

丹尼尔·儒尼奥尔
25%

索拉娅
25%

贝托·杜·莫维门图
24%

雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
24%

Valderi Garcia
24%

Luiz Lemes
23%

Valter da Comagran
23%
卡皮唐·孔塔尔 40%
罗伯托·大城 27%
Vander Loubet 26%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥尔 25%

卡皮唐·孔塔尔
40%

罗伯托·大城
27%

Vander Loubet
26%

丹尼尔·儒尼奥尔
25%

索拉娅
25%

贝托·杜·莫维门图
24%

雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
24%

Valderi Garcia
24%

Luiz Lemes
23%

Valter da Comagran
23%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 polls for Mato Grosso do Sul’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leading first-place intentions while Capitão Contar (PL), Nelsinho Trad (PSD), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) cluster closely behind for the remaining position. With candidacy registrations now closed, the second seat remains open due to intra-PL competition, variable voter consolidation across center-right and opposition blocs, and limited name recognition for several contenders. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, assigning elevated probabilities across multiple names until clearer polling trends or campaign momentum separate the field ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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