The Tocantins Federal Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with plurality block voting for two seats contributing to the tight implied probabilities among frontrunners such as Osvany Luz and Eduardo Gomes. Recent closure of candidacy registrations on August 15 and an earlier Paraná Pesquisas survey showing Gomes with a narrow edge have not yet produced separation, as regional bases, party coalitions like União pelo Tocantins, and limited early polling keep support divided. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender exceeding low-20s odds amid competition from figures including Alexandre Guimarães and others. Further polling releases, formal coalition announcements, or candidate withdrawals before the October ballot could consolidate votes and widen leads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Eduardo Gomes 36%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga 33%
Osvany Luz 25%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Eduardo Gomes
36%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
33%
Osvany Luz
25%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
23%
Nilton Santos
16%
Ronaldo Dimas
12%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
11%
Eli Borges
9%
Alexandre Guimarães
7%
Paulo Mourão
5%
Professor Osvaldo
5%
Fábio Ribeiro
4%
Gaguim
12%
Eduardo Gomes 36%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga 33%
Osvany Luz 25%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Eduardo Gomes
$119 交易量
36%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$119 交易量
33%
Osvany Luz
$111 交易量
25%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$119 交易量
23%
Nilton Santos
$132 交易量
16%
Ronaldo Dimas
$139 交易量
12%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$119 交易量
11%
Eli Borges
$109 交易量
9%
Alexandre Guimarães
$109 交易量
7%
Paulo Mourão
$119 交易量
5%
Professor Osvaldo
$119 交易量
5%
Fábio Ribeiro
$111 交易量
4%
Gaguim
$118 交易量
12%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins Federal Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with plurality block voting for two seats contributing to the tight implied probabilities among frontrunners such as Osvany Luz and Eduardo Gomes. Recent closure of candidacy registrations on August 15 and an earlier Paraná Pesquisas survey showing Gomes with a narrow edge have not yet produced separation, as regional bases, party coalitions like União pelo Tocantins, and limited early polling keep support divided. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender exceeding low-20s odds amid competition from figures including Alexandre Guimarães and others. Further polling releases, formal coalition announcements, or candidate withdrawals before the October ballot could consolidate votes and widen leads.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$1,543结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins Federal Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with plurality block voting for two seats contributing to the tight implied probabilities among frontrunners such as Osvany Luz and Eduardo Gomes. Recent closure of candidacy registrations on August 15 and an earlier Paraná Pesquisas survey showing Gomes with a narrow edge have not yet produced separation, as regional bases, party coalitions like União pelo Tocantins, and limited early polling keep support divided. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender exceeding low-20s odds amid competition from figures including Alexandre Guimarães and others. Further polling releases, formal coalition announcements, or candidate withdrawals before the October ballot could consolidate votes and widen leads.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,543结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tocantins Federal Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with plurality block voting for two seats contributing to the tight implied probabilities among frontrunners such as Osvany Luz and Eduardo Gomes. Recent closure of candidacy registrations on August 15 and an earlier Paraná Pesquisas survey showing Gomes with a narrow edge have not yet produced separation, as regional bases, party coalitions like União pelo Tocantins, and limited early polling keep support divided. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender exceeding low-20s odds amid competition from figures including Alexandre Guimarães and others. Further polling releases, formal coalition announcements, or candidate withdrawals before the October ballot could consolidate votes and widen leads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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