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icon for CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)

CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)

icon for CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)

CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)

Polymarket

$31,756 交易量

Polymarket

$31,756 交易量

悉尼·卡姆拉格-多夫

$30,787 交易量

95%

萨曼莎·莫塔

$970 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sydney Kamlager-Dove holds a commanding lead in the CA-37 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean, her incumbency status, and established party infrastructure. California’s 37th congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Los Angeles County with consistent high Democratic registration and voting patterns that have favored the party in recent cycles. Traders appear to price in limited viable opposition, with Samantha Mota and other listed candidates at single digits or even odds, consistent with historical outcomes in similarly partisan seats. Potential shifts could arise from late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting changes before the November 2026 election, or an unusually strong national Republican surge that alters turnout in the district.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,756
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sydney Kamlager-Dove holds a commanding lead in the CA-37 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean, her incumbency status, and established party infrastructure. California’s 37th congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Los Angeles County with consistent high Democratic registration and voting patterns that have favored the party in recent cycles. Traders appear to price in limited viable opposition, with Samantha Mota and other listed candidates at single digits or even odds, consistent with historical outcomes in similarly partisan seats. Potential shifts could arise from late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting changes before the November 2026 election, or an unusually strong national Republican surge that alters turnout in the district.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,756
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

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常见问题

"CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"悉尼·卡姆拉格-多夫",概率为 95%,其次是"萨曼莎·莫塔",概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 95¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)"已产生 $31.8K 的总交易量(自Jul 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)"的当前领先者是"悉尼·卡姆拉格-多夫",概率为 95%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 95%。紧随其后的结果是"萨曼莎·莫塔",概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"CA-37众议院选举获胜者(个人)"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。