The special election runoff for California's 14th congressional district, set for August 18, 2026, pits State Senator Aisha Wahab against former mayor Melissa Hernandez after both advanced from the June primary to replace the resigned incumbent. In this safely Democratic East Bay seat, the even odds reflect their comparable local name recognition, overlapping voter bases, and limited time for differentiation through endorsements, fundraising, or targeted outreach. Recent primary results showed no decisive frontrunner, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout patterns, campaign messaging on district priorities like housing and infrastructure, and any late shifts in party or labor support that could consolidate preferences before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
艾莎·瓦哈布
48%
梅利莎·埃尔南德斯
45%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
艾莎·瓦哈布
$0 交易量
48%
梅利莎·埃尔南德斯
$0 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The special election runoff for California's 14th congressional district, set for August 18, 2026, pits State Senator Aisha Wahab against former mayor Melissa Hernandez after both advanced from the June primary to replace the resigned incumbent. In this safely Democratic East Bay seat, the even odds reflect their comparable local name recognition, overlapping voter bases, and limited time for differentiation through endorsements, fundraising, or targeted outreach. Recent primary results showed no decisive frontrunner, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout patterns, campaign messaging on district priorities like housing and infrastructure, and any late shifts in party or labor support that could consolidate preferences before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The special election runoff for California's 14th congressional district, set for August 18, 2026, pits State Senator Aisha Wahab against former mayor Melissa Hernandez after both advanced from the June primary to replace the resigned incumbent. In this safely Democratic East Bay seat, the even odds reflect their comparable local name recognition, overlapping voter bases, and limited time for differentiation through endorsements, fundraising, or targeted outreach. Recent primary results showed no decisive frontrunner, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout patterns, campaign messaging on district priorities like housing and infrastructure, and any late shifts in party or labor support that could consolidate preferences before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The special election runoff for California's 14th congressional district, set for August 18, 2026, pits State Senator Aisha Wahab against former mayor Melissa Hernandez after both advanced from the June primary to replace the resigned incumbent. In this safely Democratic East Bay seat, the even odds reflect their comparable local name recognition, overlapping voter bases, and limited time for differentiation through endorsements, fundraising, or targeted outreach. Recent primary results showed no decisive frontrunner, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout patterns, campaign messaging on district priorities like housing and infrastructure, and any late shifts in party or labor support that could consolidate preferences before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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