Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in the CA-14 special election market after securing 53.1% in the August 18 runoff against Melissa Hernandez, expanding her edge as late mail ballots were counted and the Associated Press called the race on August 20. The Democratic state senator advanced from the June 16 top-two primary with 42.8% to Hernandez’s 16.8%, reflecting early voter preference in the East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Hernandez narrowed the gap in the runoff through substantial outside spending from pro-Israel PACs, yet Wahab’s grassroots support and progressive positioning sustained her advantage. Traders view Wahab’s victory in the short-term seat as increasing her profile ahead of the November rematch for the full term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,258 交易量
$20,258 交易量
2026-11-03
艾莎·瓦哈布
84%
梅利莎·埃尔南德斯
16%
$20,258 交易量
$20,258 交易量
2026-11-03
艾莎·瓦哈布
$12,175 交易量
84%
梅利莎·埃尔南德斯
$8,083 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in the CA-14 special election market after securing 53.1% in the August 18 runoff against Melissa Hernandez, expanding her edge as late mail ballots were counted and the Associated Press called the race on August 20. The Democratic state senator advanced from the June 16 top-two primary with 42.8% to Hernandez’s 16.8%, reflecting early voter preference in the East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Hernandez narrowed the gap in the runoff through substantial outside spending from pro-Israel PACs, yet Wahab’s grassroots support and progressive positioning sustained her advantage. Traders view Wahab’s victory in the short-term seat as increasing her profile ahead of the November rematch for the full term.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
交易量
$20,258结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in the CA-14 special election market after securing 53.1% in the August 18 runoff against Melissa Hernandez, expanding her edge as late mail ballots were counted and the Associated Press called the race on August 20. The Democratic state senator advanced from the June 16 top-two primary with 42.8% to Hernandez’s 16.8%, reflecting early voter preference in the East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Hernandez narrowed the gap in the runoff through substantial outside spending from pro-Israel PACs, yet Wahab’s grassroots support and progressive positioning sustained her advantage. Traders view Wahab’s victory in the short-term seat as increasing her profile ahead of the November rematch for the full term.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,258结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETAisha Wahab holds a strong lead in the CA-14 special election market after securing 53.1% in the August 18 runoff against Melissa Hernandez, expanding her edge as late mail ballots were counted and the Associated Press called the race on August 20. The Democratic state senator advanced from the June 16 top-two primary with 42.8% to Hernandez’s 16.8%, reflecting early voter preference in the East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Hernandez narrowed the gap in the runoff through substantial outside spending from pro-Israel PACs, yet Wahab’s grassroots support and progressive positioning sustained her advantage. Traders view Wahab’s victory in the short-term seat as increasing her profile ahead of the November rematch for the full term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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