Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured his party's nomination with strong primary support and faces Republican nominee Lauren Peña in the November general election for Texas's 37th congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, reflecting its urban Austin core and consistent performance in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic advantage. Primary results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic have reinforced expectations of continuity. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen district-specific developments such as a major candidate controversy or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the established structural margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,839 交易量
93%
共和党
$2,301 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured his party's nomination with strong primary support and faces Republican nominee Lauren Peña in the November general election for Texas's 37th congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, reflecting its urban Austin core and consistent performance in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic advantage. Primary results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic have reinforced expectations of continuity. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen district-specific developments such as a major candidate controversy or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the established structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,140结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured his party's nomination with strong primary support and faces Republican nominee Lauren Peña in the November general election for Texas's 37th congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, reflecting its urban Austin core and consistent performance in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic advantage. Primary results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic have reinforced expectations of continuity. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen district-specific developments such as a major candidate controversy or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the established structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,140结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured his party's nomination with strong primary support and faces Republican nominee Lauren Peña in the November general election for Texas's 37th congressional district. The seat carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, reflecting its urban Austin core and consistent performance in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic advantage. Primary results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic have reinforced expectations of continuity. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen district-specific developments such as a major candidate controversy or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the established structural margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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