Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District, a southeastern seat covering areas such as Kenosha, Racine, and Janesville that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Steil won reelection in 2024 by double digits, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently rate the 2026 contest Likely or Solid Republican. Mitchell Berman emerged from the August 11 Democratic primary to face Steil in the November 3 general election. Available polling shows a competitive race with Steil narrowly ahead, consistent with the district’s underlying partisan composition and the typical advantages of House incumbency. Trader pricing reflects these structural and historical factors ahead of the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
70%
民主党
31%
共和党
70%
民主党
31%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District, a southeastern seat covering areas such as Kenosha, Racine, and Janesville that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Steil won reelection in 2024 by double digits, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently rate the 2026 contest Likely or Solid Republican. Mitchell Berman emerged from the August 11 Democratic primary to face Steil in the November 3 general election. Available polling shows a competitive race with Steil narrowly ahead, consistent with the district’s underlying partisan composition and the typical advantages of House incumbency. Trader pricing reflects these structural and historical factors ahead of the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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