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Elections·House Elections

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
Elections·House Elections

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

最新
Polymarket
最新

Mai Vang

$4,242 交易量

57%

Doris Matsui

$1,318 交易量

40%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,560
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,560
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Mai Vang"，概率为 57%，其次是"Doris Matsui"，概率为 40%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 57¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 57%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jul 6, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)"的当前领先者是"Mai Vang"，概率为 57%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 57%。紧随其后的结果是"Doris Matsui"，概率为 40%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。