Ken Calvert holds the strongest position in the CA-40 House race due to his longer incumbency, stronger primary performance, and larger share of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50 redistricting. The June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced Calvert and fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim to the November general election after Calvert captured 34.9% of the vote to Kim’s 20.6%, with Democratic candidates trailing. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with Calvert priced highest among listed outcomes. Negative advertising between the two candidates and competing endorsements have defined the campaign, but no major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks. The solidly Republican district makes the intra-party contest the decisive factor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
Ken Calvert
72%
杨金
28%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Ken Calvert
$1,126 交易量
72%
杨金
$837 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds the strongest position in the CA-40 House race due to his longer incumbency, stronger primary performance, and larger share of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50 redistricting. The June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced Calvert and fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim to the November general election after Calvert captured 34.9% of the vote to Kim’s 20.6%, with Democratic candidates trailing. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with Calvert priced highest among listed outcomes. Negative advertising between the two candidates and competing endorsements have defined the campaign, but no major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks. The solidly Republican district makes the intra-party contest the decisive factor.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
交易量
$1,963结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds the strongest position in the CA-40 House race due to his longer incumbency, stronger primary performance, and larger share of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50 redistricting. The June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced Calvert and fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim to the November general election after Calvert captured 34.9% of the vote to Kim’s 20.6%, with Democratic candidates trailing. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with Calvert priced highest among listed outcomes. Negative advertising between the two candidates and competing endorsements have defined the campaign, but no major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks. The solidly Republican district makes the intra-party contest the decisive factor.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,963结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETKen Calvert holds the strongest position in the CA-40 House race due to his longer incumbency, stronger primary performance, and larger share of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50 redistricting. The June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced Calvert and fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim to the November general election after Calvert captured 34.9% of the vote to Kim’s 20.6%, with Democratic candidates trailing. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with Calvert priced highest among listed outcomes. Negative advertising between the two candidates and competing endorsements have defined the campaign, but no major developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks. The solidly Republican district makes the intra-party contest the decisive factor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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