Republican incumbent Bob Onder's reelection campaign in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. Onder, who won 61% in the 2024 general election after a competitive primary, recently secured President Trump's endorsement amid early 2026 candidate filings that feature weak Democratic contenders like 2024 nominee Bethany Mann. The district backed Trump 58-40 last cycle, underscoring its safe Republican status absent national Democratic waves. Scenarios to shift odds include a disruptive GOP primary on August 4, Onder scandal, or high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in St. Louis exurbs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$62 交易量
92%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder's reelection campaign in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. Onder, who won 61% in the 2024 general election after a competitive primary, recently secured President Trump's endorsement amid early 2026 candidate filings that feature weak Democratic contenders like 2024 nominee Bethany Mann. The district backed Trump 58-40 last cycle, underscoring its safe Republican status absent national Democratic waves. Scenarios to shift odds include a disruptive GOP primary on August 4, Onder scandal, or high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in St. Louis exurbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$62结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder's reelection campaign in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. Onder, who won 61% in the 2024 general election after a competitive primary, recently secured President Trump's endorsement amid early 2026 candidate filings that feature weak Democratic contenders like 2024 nominee Bethany Mann. The district backed Trump 58-40 last cycle, underscoring its safe Republican status absent national Democratic waves. Scenarios to shift odds include a disruptive GOP primary on August 4, Onder scandal, or high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in St. Louis exurbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$62结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder's reelection campaign in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. Onder, who won 61% in the 2024 general election after a competitive primary, recently secured President Trump's endorsement amid early 2026 candidate filings that feature weak Democratic contenders like 2024 nominee Bethany Mann. The district backed Trump 58-40 last cycle, underscoring its safe Republican status absent national Democratic waves. Scenarios to shift odds include a disruptive GOP primary on August 4, Onder scandal, or high-profile Democratic recruit boosting turnout in St. Louis exurbs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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