Republican Bob Onder holds a commanding position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's established Republican tilt, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+10 and the incumbent's 61 percent victory in 2024. Onder secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Bethany Mann, a repeat nominee, advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus aligns with this structural edge. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic environment, or successful legal challenges to recent redistricting that alters the map.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,050 交易量
$21,050 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
$21,050 交易量
$21,050 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,172 交易量
91%
民主党
$14,878 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Bob Onder holds a commanding position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's established Republican tilt, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+10 and the incumbent's 61 percent victory in 2024. Onder secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Bethany Mann, a repeat nominee, advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus aligns with this structural edge. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic environment, or successful legal challenges to recent redistricting that alters the map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$21,050结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Bob Onder holds a commanding position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's established Republican tilt, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+10 and the incumbent's 61 percent victory in 2024. Onder secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Bethany Mann, a repeat nominee, advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus aligns with this structural edge. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic environment, or successful legal challenges to recent redistricting that alters the map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,050结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Bob Onder holds a commanding position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's established Republican tilt, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+10 and the incumbent's 61 percent victory in 2024. Onder secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Bethany Mann, a repeat nominee, advanced on the other side. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus aligns with this structural edge. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic environment, or successful legal challenges to recent redistricting that alters the map.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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