Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 74% of the vote against several challengers, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Fred Wellman on November 3. The district's suburban St. Louis footprint and surrounding counties have shown a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including Wagner's 54.5% win in 2024. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid R, reflecting its partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal for Democrats even amid national midterm dynamics. Limited polling shows a competitive head-to-head but still favors the incumbent's advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and turnout patterns among college-educated suburban voters. These structural and timing factors underpin trader pricing that places the Republican nominee well ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
24%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,362 交易量
77%
民主党
$3,757 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 74% of the vote against several challengers, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Fred Wellman on November 3. The district's suburban St. Louis footprint and surrounding counties have shown a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including Wagner's 54.5% win in 2024. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid R, reflecting its partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal for Democrats even amid national midterm dynamics. Limited polling shows a competitive head-to-head but still favors the incumbent's advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and turnout patterns among college-educated suburban voters. These structural and timing factors underpin trader pricing that places the Republican nominee well ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,119结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 74% of the vote against several challengers, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Fred Wellman on November 3. The district's suburban St. Louis footprint and surrounding counties have shown a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including Wagner's 54.5% win in 2024. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid R, reflecting its partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal for Democrats even amid national midterm dynamics. Limited polling shows a competitive head-to-head but still favors the incumbent's advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and turnout patterns among college-educated suburban voters. These structural and timing factors underpin trader pricing that places the Republican nominee well ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,119结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 74% of the vote against several challengers, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Fred Wellman on November 3. The district's suburban St. Louis footprint and surrounding counties have shown a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including Wagner's 54.5% win in 2024. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid R, reflecting its partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal for Democrats even amid national midterm dynamics. Limited polling shows a competitive head-to-head but still favors the incumbent's advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and turnout patterns among college-educated suburban voters. These structural and timing factors underpin trader pricing that places the Republican nominee well ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题