Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's incumbency advantage and polling leads in deep-red Texas underpin trader consensus implying an 83.5% probability of a Republican gubernatorial victory on November 3. After securing easy renominations in the March 3 primaries—Abbott with 82% over minor challengers and Democrat Gina Hinojosa with 60% in a crowded field—late April polls, including Slingshot Strategies (48%-43%) and a RealClearPolling average of Abbott +7 (47.7%-40.7%), reflect his edge amid undecideds and strong GOP trifecta control. While Hinojosa shows gains with Latino voters, no Democrat has won since 1990, bolstering market positioning ahead of October early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,011 交易量
$12,011 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
15%
$12,011 交易量
$12,011 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,869 交易量
84%
民主党
$6,142 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's incumbency advantage and polling leads in deep-red Texas underpin trader consensus implying an 83.5% probability of a Republican gubernatorial victory on November 3. After securing easy renominations in the March 3 primaries—Abbott with 82% over minor challengers and Democrat Gina Hinojosa with 60% in a crowded field—late April polls, including Slingshot Strategies (48%-43%) and a RealClearPolling average of Abbott +7 (47.7%-40.7%), reflect his edge amid undecideds and strong GOP trifecta control. While Hinojosa shows gains with Latino voters, no Democrat has won since 1990, bolstering market positioning ahead of October early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$12,011结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's incumbency advantage and polling leads in deep-red Texas underpin trader consensus implying an 83.5% probability of a Republican gubernatorial victory on November 3. After securing easy renominations in the March 3 primaries—Abbott with 82% over minor challengers and Democrat Gina Hinojosa with 60% in a crowded field—late April polls, including Slingshot Strategies (48%-43%) and a RealClearPolling average of Abbott +7 (47.7%-40.7%), reflect his edge amid undecideds and strong GOP trifecta control. While Hinojosa shows gains with Latino voters, no Democrat has won since 1990, bolstering market positioning ahead of October early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$12,011结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's incumbency advantage and polling leads in deep-red Texas underpin trader consensus implying an 83.5% probability of a Republican gubernatorial victory on November 3. After securing easy renominations in the March 3 primaries—Abbott with 82% over minor challengers and Democrat Gina Hinojosa with 60% in a crowded field—late April polls, including Slingshot Strategies (48%-43%) and a RealClearPolling average of Abbott +7 (47.7%-40.7%), reflect his edge amid undecideds and strong GOP trifecta control. While Hinojosa shows gains with Latino voters, no Democrat has won since 1990, bolstering market positioning ahead of October early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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