Incumbent Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial race, reflected in traders' 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory. His sustained approval ratings near 60%, combined with Connecticut's strong Democratic lean and his 12-point reelection margin in 2022, underpin this position ahead of the August 11 primary. Lamont leads primary challenger Rep. Josh Elliott by 34 points in the latest University of New Hampshire poll, while Republicans recently nominated state Sen. Ryan Fazio after former mayor Erin Stewart withdrew from contention. Factors that could shift outcomes include an unexpected primary upset, a Lamont-related scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts Fazio's general-election performance on November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$1,772 交易量
93%
共和党
$2,490 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial race, reflected in traders' 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory. His sustained approval ratings near 60%, combined with Connecticut's strong Democratic lean and his 12-point reelection margin in 2022, underpin this position ahead of the August 11 primary. Lamont leads primary challenger Rep. Josh Elliott by 34 points in the latest University of New Hampshire poll, while Republicans recently nominated state Sen. Ryan Fazio after former mayor Erin Stewart withdrew from contention. Factors that could shift outcomes include an unexpected primary upset, a Lamont-related scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts Fazio's general-election performance on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$4,263结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial race, reflected in traders' 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory. His sustained approval ratings near 60%, combined with Connecticut's strong Democratic lean and his 12-point reelection margin in 2022, underpin this position ahead of the August 11 primary. Lamont leads primary challenger Rep. Josh Elliott by 34 points in the latest University of New Hampshire poll, while Republicans recently nominated state Sen. Ryan Fazio after former mayor Erin Stewart withdrew from contention. Factors that could shift outcomes include an unexpected primary upset, a Lamont-related scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts Fazio's general-election performance on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$4,263结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial race, reflected in traders' 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory. His sustained approval ratings near 60%, combined with Connecticut's strong Democratic lean and his 12-point reelection margin in 2022, underpin this position ahead of the August 11 primary. Lamont leads primary challenger Rep. Josh Elliott by 34 points in the latest University of New Hampshire poll, while Republicans recently nominated state Sen. Ryan Fazio after former mayor Erin Stewart withdrew from contention. Factors that could shift outcomes include an unexpected primary upset, a Lamont-related scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts Fazio's general-election performance on November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题