Recent opinion polls place Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s percent range ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, aligning with trader emphasis on the 30-33% band. Multiple surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion in June–August show S at 30.2–32.5%, holding steady or slightly down from earlier 2026 readings while remaining the largest party. The centre-left opposition bloc leads the incumbent Tidö government parties overall, though the gap narrowed modestly in the latest Demoskop poll to 50.6% versus 46.9%. Limited movement in S figures, combined with the short time remaining before voting, supports current market positioning around the 30–33% interval as the consensus range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于30-33% 38%
33%+ 25%
27-30% 22%
<27% 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
<27%
11%
27-30%
22%
30-33%
38%
33%+
23%
30-33% 38%
33%+ 25%
27-30% 22%
<27% 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
<27%
$320 交易量
11%
27-30%
$133 交易量
22%
30-33%
$1,325 交易量
38%
33%+
$615 交易量
23%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls place Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s percent range ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, aligning with trader emphasis on the 30-33% band. Multiple surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion in June–August show S at 30.2–32.5%, holding steady or slightly down from earlier 2026 readings while remaining the largest party. The centre-left opposition bloc leads the incumbent Tidö government parties overall, though the gap narrowed modestly in the latest Demoskop poll to 50.6% versus 46.9%. Limited movement in S figures, combined with the short time remaining before voting, supports current market positioning around the 30–33% interval as the consensus range.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
交易量
$2,393结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls place Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s percent range ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, aligning with trader emphasis on the 30-33% band. Multiple surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion in June–August show S at 30.2–32.5%, holding steady or slightly down from earlier 2026 readings while remaining the largest party. The centre-left opposition bloc leads the incumbent Tidö government parties overall, though the gap narrowed modestly in the latest Demoskop poll to 50.6% versus 46.9%. Limited movement in S figures, combined with the short time remaining before voting, supports current market positioning around the 30–33% interval as the consensus range.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$2,393结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls place Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s percent range ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, aligning with trader emphasis on the 30-33% band. Multiple surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion in June–August show S at 30.2–32.5%, holding steady or slightly down from earlier 2026 readings while remaining the largest party. The centre-left opposition bloc leads the incumbent Tidö government parties overall, though the gap narrowed modestly in the latest Demoskop poll to 50.6% versus 46.9%. Limited movement in S figures, combined with the short time remaining before voting, supports current market positioning around the 30–33% interval as the consensus range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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