Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 93.5% in Missouri's 4th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Safe Republican rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Mark Alford's strong reelection bid with over $1.1 million raised and $742,000 cash on hand as of late March. Recent filing deadline passage on March 31 revealed a fragmented Democratic primary field of eight candidates with modest fundraising, contrasting Alford's edge over two lesser-known Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 4 primaries. Absent a major scandal, primary upset, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout in newly added Kansas City suburbs, an upset remains highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,403 交易量
$30,403 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$30,403 交易量
$30,403 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$16,483 交易量
94%
民主党
$13,920 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 93.5% in Missouri's 4th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Safe Republican rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Mark Alford's strong reelection bid with over $1.1 million raised and $742,000 cash on hand as of late March. Recent filing deadline passage on March 31 revealed a fragmented Democratic primary field of eight candidates with modest fundraising, contrasting Alford's edge over two lesser-known Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 4 primaries. Absent a major scandal, primary upset, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout in newly added Kansas City suburbs, an upset remains highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$30,403结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 93.5% in Missouri's 4th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Safe Republican rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Mark Alford's strong reelection bid with over $1.1 million raised and $742,000 cash on hand as of late March. Recent filing deadline passage on March 31 revealed a fragmented Democratic primary field of eight candidates with modest fundraising, contrasting Alford's edge over two lesser-known Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 4 primaries. Absent a major scandal, primary upset, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout in newly added Kansas City suburbs, an upset remains highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,403结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 93.5% in Missouri's 4th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Safe Republican rating across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Mark Alford's strong reelection bid with over $1.1 million raised and $742,000 cash on hand as of late March. Recent filing deadline passage on March 31 revealed a fragmented Democratic primary field of eight candidates with modest fundraising, contrasting Alford's edge over two lesser-known Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 4 primaries. Absent a major scandal, primary upset, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout in newly added Kansas City suburbs, an upset remains highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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