Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured the nomination with a decisive primary victory in Missouri's 4th congressional district, a seat rated solid Republican by major forecasters due to its R+21 partisan voter index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The district's boundaries, redrawn by the Republican-controlled legislature and upheld by the state supreme court, encompass rural counties and suburban areas south and east of Kansas City that have favored Republicans by wide margins in presidential and congressional voting. With the general election set for November 3, Alford faces Democrat Jordan Herrera, who advanced from a crowded primary. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$50,168 交易量
$50,168 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$50,168 交易量
$50,168 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$32,792 交易量
93%
民主党
$17,376 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured the nomination with a decisive primary victory in Missouri's 4th congressional district, a seat rated solid Republican by major forecasters due to its R+21 partisan voter index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The district's boundaries, redrawn by the Republican-controlled legislature and upheld by the state supreme court, encompass rural counties and suburban areas south and east of Kansas City that have favored Republicans by wide margins in presidential and congressional voting. With the general election set for November 3, Alford faces Democrat Jordan Herrera, who advanced from a crowded primary. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$50,168结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured the nomination with a decisive primary victory in Missouri's 4th congressional district, a seat rated solid Republican by major forecasters due to its R+21 partisan voter index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The district's boundaries, redrawn by the Republican-controlled legislature and upheld by the state supreme court, encompass rural counties and suburban areas south and east of Kansas City that have favored Republicans by wide margins in presidential and congressional voting. With the general election set for November 3, Alford faces Democrat Jordan Herrera, who advanced from a crowded primary. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$50,168结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Mark Alford secured the nomination with a decisive primary victory in Missouri's 4th congressional district, a seat rated solid Republican by major forecasters due to its R+21 partisan voter index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The district's boundaries, redrawn by the Republican-controlled legislature and upheld by the state supreme court, encompass rural counties and suburban areas south and east of Kansas City that have favored Republicans by wide margins in presidential and congressional voting. With the general election set for November 3, Alford faces Democrat Jordan Herrera, who advanced from a crowded primary. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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