In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于WA-03 Primary First Place
John Braun 38%
Brent Hennrich 24%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 20%
Troy Rasband 14.3%
John Braun
38%
Brent Hennrich
24%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
20%
Troy Rasband
14%
Lawrence Kellogg
11%
Austin Braswell
3%
John Saulie-Rohman
3%
John P. Roco
3%
Antony Barran
2%
John Braun 38%
Brent Hennrich 24%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 20%
Troy Rasband 14.3%
John Braun
38%
Brent Hennrich
24%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
20%
Troy Rasband
14%
Lawrence Kellogg
11%
Austin Braswell
3%
John Saulie-Rohman
3%
John P. Roco
3%
Antony Barran
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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