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icon for Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

icon for Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

70-75% 95%

85-90% 3.5%

65-70% 3.2%

75-80% 2.0%

Polymarket

$8,847 交易量

70-75% 95%

85-90% 3.5%

65-70% 3.2%

75-80% 2.0%

Polymarket

$8,847 交易量

<65%

$1,931 交易量

1%

65-70%

$1,329 交易量

3%

70-75%

$1,380 交易量

89%

75-80%

$1,395 交易量

2%

80-85%

$1,445 交易量

1%

85-90%

$671 交易量

4%

90%+

$872 交易量

<1%

Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination in Maine’s June 9 U.S. Senate primary with approximately 72% of the vote after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, consolidating support behind the oyster farmer and Marine veteran. Pre-primary polls consistently showed Platner leading with 68-76% among likely Democratic primary voters, driven by his grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and populist messaging on economic issues. These factors positioned the 70-75% range as the dominant trader consensus, reflecting the absence of viable challengers and the swift consolidation of the field following Mills’ exit. Late polls and early returns aligned closely with this band, underscoring limited remaining uncertainty ahead of final certification.

Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$8,847
结束日期
2026-06-09
市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination in Maine’s June 9 U.S. Senate primary with approximately 72% of the vote after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, consolidating support behind the oyster farmer and Marine veteran. Pre-primary polls consistently showed Platner leading with 68-76% among likely Democratic primary voters, driven by his grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and populist messaging on economic issues. These factors positioned the 70-75% range as the dominant trader consensus, reflecting the absence of viable challengers and the swift consolidation of the field following Mills’ exit. Late polls and early returns aligned closely with this band, underscoring limited remaining uncertainty ahead of final certification.

Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$8,847
结束日期
2026-06-09
市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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常见问题

"Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"70-75%",概率为 89%,其次是"85-90%",概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 89¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 89%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 8, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary"的当前领先者是"70-75%",概率为 89%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 89%。紧随其后的结果是"85-90%",概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。