Trader consensus positions Jordan Bardella as the clear frontrunner to represent the National Rally in the 2027 French presidential election, driven by consistent polling advantages and recent local gains. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her 2025 embezzlement conviction, which carries a public-office ban and is due for a July ruling, creates the main uncertainty. Party statements and surveys show Bardella, the current National Rally president, drawing broader support among voters and party members as the preferred nominee if Le Pen remains ineligible. The party’s strong performance in the March 2026 municipal elections further reinforced his momentum, while any reversal of her ban would reopen the choice between the two figures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jordan Bardella 70%
Marine Le Pen 25%
Multiple Candidates 4.2%
最新
最新
2027-04-23
Marine Le Pen
25%
Jordan Bardella
70%
Multiple Candidates
4%
Jordan Bardella 70%
Marine Le Pen 25%
Multiple Candidates 4.2%
最新
最新
2027-04-23
Marine Le Pen
$1,058 交易量
25%
Jordan Bardella
$2,120 交易量
70%
Multiple Candidates
$554 交易量
4%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Jordan Bardella as the clear frontrunner to represent the National Rally in the 2027 French presidential election, driven by consistent polling advantages and recent local gains. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her 2025 embezzlement conviction, which carries a public-office ban and is due for a July ruling, creates the main uncertainty. Party statements and surveys show Bardella, the current National Rally president, drawing broader support among voters and party members as the preferred nominee if Le Pen remains ineligible. The party’s strong performance in the March 2026 municipal elections further reinforced his momentum, while any reversal of her ban would reopen the choice between the two figures.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$3,732结束日期
2027-04-23市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Jordan Bardella as the clear frontrunner to represent the National Rally in the 2027 French presidential election, driven by consistent polling advantages and recent local gains. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her 2025 embezzlement conviction, which carries a public-office ban and is due for a July ruling, creates the main uncertainty. Party statements and surveys show Bardella, the current National Rally president, drawing broader support among voters and party members as the preferred nominee if Le Pen remains ineligible. The party’s strong performance in the March 2026 municipal elections further reinforced his momentum, while any reversal of her ban would reopen the choice between the two figures.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,732结束日期
2027-04-23市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Jordan Bardella as the clear frontrunner to represent the National Rally in the 2027 French presidential election, driven by consistent polling advantages and recent local gains. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her 2025 embezzlement conviction, which carries a public-office ban and is due for a July ruling, creates the main uncertainty. Party statements and surveys show Bardella, the current National Rally president, drawing broader support among voters and party members as the preferred nominee if Le Pen remains ineligible. The party’s strong performance in the March 2026 municipal elections further reinforced his momentum, while any reversal of her ban would reopen the choice between the two figures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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