Australia’s next federal election, due by 2028, features a fragmented field in which Labor’s Anthony Albanese, Coalition leader Angus Taylor, One Nation’s Pauline Hanson, and Greens leader Larissa Waters each hold roughly equal implied probability in trader pricing. The 2025 Labor landslide left Albanese with a large majority, yet recent polls show One Nation drawing support from both major parties amid voter frustration over cost-of-living and “grievance politics.” This diffusion, combined with Australia’s preferential voting system and crossbench influence, keeps any single successor uncertain. A sustained One Nation surge, Coalition primary recovery under Taylor, or Labor primary erosion could quickly reorder probabilities before the next contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Angus Taylor 100%
Robbie Katter 100%
Pauline Hanson 100%
Larissa Waters 100%
最新
最新
2028-09-23
Angus Taylor
100%
Robbie Katter
100%
Pauline Hanson
100%
Larissa Waters
100%
Anthony Albanese
100%
Angus Taylor 100%
Robbie Katter 100%
Pauline Hanson 100%
Larissa Waters 100%
最新
最新
2028-09-23
Angus Taylor
$0 交易量
100%
Robbie Katter
$0 交易量
100%
Pauline Hanson
$0 交易量
100%
Larissa Waters
$0 交易量
100%
Anthony Albanese
$0 交易量
100%
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australia’s next federal election, due by 2028, features a fragmented field in which Labor’s Anthony Albanese, Coalition leader Angus Taylor, One Nation’s Pauline Hanson, and Greens leader Larissa Waters each hold roughly equal implied probability in trader pricing. The 2025 Labor landslide left Albanese with a large majority, yet recent polls show One Nation drawing support from both major parties amid voter frustration over cost-of-living and “grievance politics.” This diffusion, combined with Australia’s preferential voting system and crossbench influence, keeps any single successor uncertain. A sustained One Nation surge, Coalition primary recovery under Taylor, or Labor primary erosion could quickly reorder probabilities before the next contest.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2028-09-23市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australia’s next federal election, due by 2028, features a fragmented field in which Labor’s Anthony Albanese, Coalition leader Angus Taylor, One Nation’s Pauline Hanson, and Greens leader Larissa Waters each hold roughly equal implied probability in trader pricing. The 2025 Labor landslide left Albanese with a large majority, yet recent polls show One Nation drawing support from both major parties amid voter frustration over cost-of-living and “grievance politics.” This diffusion, combined with Australia’s preferential voting system and crossbench influence, keeps any single successor uncertain. A sustained One Nation surge, Coalition primary recovery under Taylor, or Labor primary erosion could quickly reorder probabilities before the next contest.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2028-09-23市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia’s next federal election, due by 2028, features a fragmented field in which Labor’s Anthony Albanese, Coalition leader Angus Taylor, One Nation’s Pauline Hanson, and Greens leader Larissa Waters each hold roughly equal implied probability in trader pricing. The 2025 Labor landslide left Albanese with a large majority, yet recent polls show One Nation drawing support from both major parties amid voter frustration over cost-of-living and “grievance politics.” This diffusion, combined with Australia’s preferential voting system and crossbench influence, keeps any single successor uncertain. A sustained One Nation surge, Coalition primary recovery under Taylor, or Labor primary erosion could quickly reorder probabilities before the next contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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