In California's 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco area seat, the November 2026 general election features a tight matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan after both advanced from the June top-two primary. The race remains closely contested due to overlapping progressive and moderate Democratic voter bases, strong local name recognition for each candidate, and divided establishment support including Pelosi's reported backing for Chan. Key factors sustaining the narrow trader consensus include fundraising disparities, turnout patterns in urban precincts, and limited crossover appeal in a low-competition environment. Upcoming debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in national Democratic messaging could widen the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
康妮·陈
89%
斯科特·维纳
45%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
康妮·陈
$0 交易量
89%
斯科特·维纳
$0 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco area seat, the November 2026 general election features a tight matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan after both advanced from the June top-two primary. The race remains closely contested due to overlapping progressive and moderate Democratic voter bases, strong local name recognition for each candidate, and divided establishment support including Pelosi's reported backing for Chan. Key factors sustaining the narrow trader consensus include fundraising disparities, turnout patterns in urban precincts, and limited crossover appeal in a low-competition environment. Upcoming debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in national Democratic messaging could widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco area seat, the November 2026 general election features a tight matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan after both advanced from the June top-two primary. The race remains closely contested due to overlapping progressive and moderate Democratic voter bases, strong local name recognition for each candidate, and divided establishment support including Pelosi's reported backing for Chan. Key factors sustaining the narrow trader consensus include fundraising disparities, turnout patterns in urban precincts, and limited crossover appeal in a low-competition environment. Upcoming debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in national Democratic messaging could widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In California's 11th congressional district, a heavily Democratic San Francisco area seat, the November 2026 general election features a tight matchup between state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan after both advanced from the June top-two primary. The race remains closely contested due to overlapping progressive and moderate Democratic voter bases, strong local name recognition for each candidate, and divided establishment support including Pelosi's reported backing for Chan. Key factors sustaining the narrow trader consensus include fundraising disparities, turnout patterns in urban precincts, and limited crossover appeal in a low-competition environment. Upcoming debates, additional endorsements, or shifts in national Democratic messaging could widen the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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