South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to the state's consistent partisan lean in federal races and strong primary performance by former Attorney General Marty Jackley, who secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor. The Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide party infrastructure and historical margins that have kept the seat in Republican hands for decades. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican outcome reflects these fundamentals, though a significant national partisan shift, unexpected primary fallout, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,768 交易量
$28,768 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
4%
$28,768 交易量
$28,768 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$21,079 交易量
94%
民主党
$7,688 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to the state's consistent partisan lean in federal races and strong primary performance by former Attorney General Marty Jackley, who secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor. The Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide party infrastructure and historical margins that have kept the seat in Republican hands for decades. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican outcome reflects these fundamentals, though a significant national partisan shift, unexpected primary fallout, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$28,768结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to the state's consistent partisan lean in federal races and strong primary performance by former Attorney General Marty Jackley, who secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor. The Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide party infrastructure and historical margins that have kept the seat in Republican hands for decades. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican outcome reflects these fundamentals, though a significant national partisan shift, unexpected primary fallout, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,768结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to the state's consistent partisan lean in federal races and strong primary performance by former Attorney General Marty Jackley, who secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor. The Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide party infrastructure and historical margins that have kept the seat in Republican hands for decades. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican outcome reflects these fundamentals, though a significant national partisan shift, unexpected primary fallout, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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