Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in traders’ 94 percent consensus on a GOP outcome. Incumbent Harriet Hageman’s decision to pursue the Senate seat opened a crowded August 18 primary featuring at least nine Republican candidates, while no prominent Democratic challengers have emerged. The state’s voter registration edge—roughly 53 percent Republican versus 10 percent Democratic—combined with consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, leaves little realistic path for a Democratic win. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Only an unforeseen post-primary scandal involving the nominee or an extraordinary national political reversal would likely shift the current implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,889 交易量
$26,889 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
4%
$26,889 交易量
$26,889 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$16,375 交易量
94%
民主党
$10,514 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in traders’ 94 percent consensus on a GOP outcome. Incumbent Harriet Hageman’s decision to pursue the Senate seat opened a crowded August 18 primary featuring at least nine Republican candidates, while no prominent Democratic challengers have emerged. The state’s voter registration edge—roughly 53 percent Republican versus 10 percent Democratic—combined with consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, leaves little realistic path for a Democratic win. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Only an unforeseen post-primary scandal involving the nominee or an extraordinary national political reversal would likely shift the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$26,889结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in traders’ 94 percent consensus on a GOP outcome. Incumbent Harriet Hageman’s decision to pursue the Senate seat opened a crowded August 18 primary featuring at least nine Republican candidates, while no prominent Democratic challengers have emerged. The state’s voter registration edge—roughly 53 percent Republican versus 10 percent Democratic—combined with consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, leaves little realistic path for a Democratic win. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Only an unforeseen post-primary scandal involving the nominee or an extraordinary national political reversal would likely shift the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,889结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in traders’ 94 percent consensus on a GOP outcome. Incumbent Harriet Hageman’s decision to pursue the Senate seat opened a crowded August 18 primary featuring at least nine Republican candidates, while no prominent Democratic challengers have emerged. The state’s voter registration edge—roughly 53 percent Republican versus 10 percent Democratic—combined with consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, leaves little realistic path for a Democratic win. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Only an unforeseen post-primary scandal involving the nominee or an extraordinary national political reversal would likely shift the current implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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