Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,399 交易量
$42,399 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
2%
$42,399 交易量
$42,399 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$18,591 交易量
94%
民主党
$23,808 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$42,399结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,399结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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