Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's commanding position in Illinois' 11th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the seat's Solid Democrat rating from Cook Political Report and its Harris+11 lean in the 2024 presidential vote. Foster sailed through an unopposed March 17 primary, building on his 55.6% general election win in 2024 and long tenure since 2013, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter—a retired Navy veteran and Elburn mayor—emerged from a contested primary without notable momentum. Absent polls or fundraising disparities, no developments since mid-April have shifted dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Foster scandal, GOP national wave, or surge in collar county turnout could challenge this outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,099 交易量
$10,099 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$10,099 交易量
$10,099 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,161 交易量
92%
共和党
$6,938 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's commanding position in Illinois' 11th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the seat's Solid Democrat rating from Cook Political Report and its Harris+11 lean in the 2024 presidential vote. Foster sailed through an unopposed March 17 primary, building on his 55.6% general election win in 2024 and long tenure since 2013, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter—a retired Navy veteran and Elburn mayor—emerged from a contested primary without notable momentum. Absent polls or fundraising disparities, no developments since mid-April have shifted dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Foster scandal, GOP national wave, or surge in collar county turnout could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,099结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's commanding position in Illinois' 11th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the seat's Solid Democrat rating from Cook Political Report and its Harris+11 lean in the 2024 presidential vote. Foster sailed through an unopposed March 17 primary, building on his 55.6% general election win in 2024 and long tenure since 2013, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter—a retired Navy veteran and Elburn mayor—emerged from a contested primary without notable momentum. Absent polls or fundraising disparities, no developments since mid-April have shifted dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Foster scandal, GOP national wave, or surge in collar county turnout could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,099结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster's commanding position in Illinois' 11th Congressional District drives trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the seat's Solid Democrat rating from Cook Political Report and its Harris+11 lean in the 2024 presidential vote. Foster sailed through an unopposed March 17 primary, building on his 55.6% general election win in 2024 and long tenure since 2013, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter—a retired Navy veteran and Elburn mayor—emerged from a contested primary without notable momentum. Absent polls or fundraising disparities, no developments since mid-April have shifted dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Foster scandal, GOP national wave, or surge in collar county turnout could challenge this outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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