The strong Democratic lean of Texas’s 16th Congressional District, anchored in El Paso and preserved under recent redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Veronica Escobar secured her party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Adam Bauman, a former Border Patrol agent who prevailed in the May runoff. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and historical results. No recent polling or events indicate a competitive general-election environment. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national partisan swing, a major late-cycle scandal or withdrawal, or an unforeseen turnout shift before the November 3, 2026, election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,035 交易量
$13,035 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$13,035 交易量
$13,035 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,609 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,427 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Texas’s 16th Congressional District, anchored in El Paso and preserved under recent redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Veronica Escobar secured her party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Adam Bauman, a former Border Patrol agent who prevailed in the May runoff. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and historical results. No recent polling or events indicate a competitive general-election environment. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national partisan swing, a major late-cycle scandal or withdrawal, or an unforeseen turnout shift before the November 3, 2026, election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$13,035结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Texas’s 16th Congressional District, anchored in El Paso and preserved under recent redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Veronica Escobar secured her party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Adam Bauman, a former Border Patrol agent who prevailed in the May runoff. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and historical results. No recent polling or events indicate a competitive general-election environment. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national partisan swing, a major late-cycle scandal or withdrawal, or an unforeseen turnout shift before the November 3, 2026, election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,035结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Texas’s 16th Congressional District, anchored in El Paso and preserved under recent redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Veronica Escobar secured her party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Adam Bauman, a former Border Patrol agent who prevailed in the May runoff. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and historical results. No recent polling or events indicate a competitive general-election environment. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national partisan swing, a major late-cycle scandal or withdrawal, or an unforeseen turnout shift before the November 3, 2026, election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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