Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open Republican-held seat following Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 that underpins the current 70% Republican and 23.5% Democratic market prices. The April passage and May signing of a new state congressional map further reinforced GOP structural advantages in the Manatee and Hillsborough county suburbs. Republican primary momentum has centered on Sydney Gruters after early-May endorsements from local sheriffs, while Democrats face a fragmented field ahead of their August 18 primary that includes 2024 nominee Jan Schneider. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,199 交易量
$15,199 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
24%
$15,199 交易量
$15,199 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,726 交易量
70%
民主党
$9,473 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open Republican-held seat following Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 that underpins the current 70% Republican and 23.5% Democratic market prices. The April passage and May signing of a new state congressional map further reinforced GOP structural advantages in the Manatee and Hillsborough county suburbs. Republican primary momentum has centered on Sydney Gruters after early-May endorsements from local sheriffs, while Democrats face a fragmented field ahead of their August 18 primary that includes 2024 nominee Jan Schneider. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$15,199结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open Republican-held seat following Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 that underpins the current 70% Republican and 23.5% Democratic market prices. The April passage and May signing of a new state congressional map further reinforced GOP structural advantages in the Manatee and Hillsborough county suburbs. Republican primary momentum has centered on Sydney Gruters after early-May endorsements from local sheriffs, while Democrats face a fragmented field ahead of their August 18 primary that includes 2024 nominee Jan Schneider. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,199结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open Republican-held seat following Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 that underpins the current 70% Republican and 23.5% Democratic market prices. The April passage and May signing of a new state congressional map further reinforced GOP structural advantages in the Manatee and Hillsborough county suburbs. Republican primary momentum has centered on Sydney Gruters after early-May endorsements from local sheriffs, while Democrats face a fragmented field ahead of their August 18 primary that includes 2024 nominee Jan Schneider. Forecasters rate the district Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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