Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, with primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 and has been rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and the effects of the 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited fundraising visibility. No general election polling shows a close contest, and the state's overall Republican tilt in House races reinforces the current trader consensus on party outcome probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,241 交易量
$23,241 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
民主党
22%
$23,241 交易量
$23,241 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,788 交易量
78%
民主党
$14,453 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, with primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 and has been rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and the effects of the 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited fundraising visibility. No general election polling shows a close contest, and the state's overall Republican tilt in House races reinforces the current trader consensus on party outcome probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$23,241结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, with primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 and has been rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and the effects of the 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited fundraising visibility. No general election polling shows a close contest, and the state's overall Republican tilt in House races reinforces the current trader consensus on party outcome probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,241结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district is an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan, with primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 and has been rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles and the effects of the 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited fundraising visibility. No general election polling shows a close contest, and the state's overall Republican tilt in House races reinforces the current trader consensus on party outcome probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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