Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for New York's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in the November general election. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to consistent partisan voting patterns in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. No significant primary challenges, fundraising disparities, or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the GOP nominee represent the narrow paths that could narrow the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,135 交易量
$41,135 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$41,135 交易量
$41,135 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$30,678 交易量
96%
共和党
$10,457 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for New York's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in the November general election. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to consistent partisan voting patterns in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. No significant primary challenges, fundraising disparities, or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the GOP nominee represent the narrow paths that could narrow the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$41,135结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for New York's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in the November general election. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to consistent partisan voting patterns in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. No significant primary challenges, fundraising disparities, or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the GOP nominee represent the narrow paths that could narrow the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,135结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Democrat George Latimer secured the nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for New York's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in the November general election. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Latimer's 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to consistent partisan voting patterns in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. No significant primary challenges, fundraising disparities, or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning. A late national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the GOP nominee represent the narrow paths that could narrow the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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