Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic voting patterns and D+18 partisan voter index. Latimer secured the nomination without primary opposition after the April filing deadline and maintains substantial campaign resources, while the Republican nominee faces limited fundraising and visibility in a district where Democrats have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical results. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related developments that alter candidate participation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,798 交易量
$34,798 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$34,798 交易量
$34,798 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$25,026 交易量
95%
共和党
$9,772 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic voting patterns and D+18 partisan voter index. Latimer secured the nomination without primary opposition after the April filing deadline and maintains substantial campaign resources, while the Republican nominee faces limited fundraising and visibility in a district where Democrats have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical results. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related developments that alter candidate participation before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$34,798结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic voting patterns and D+18 partisan voter index. Latimer secured the nomination without primary opposition after the April filing deadline and maintains substantial campaign resources, while the Republican nominee faces limited fundraising and visibility in a district where Democrats have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical results. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related developments that alter candidate participation before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,798结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic voting patterns and D+18 partisan voter index. Latimer secured the nomination without primary opposition after the April filing deadline and maintains substantial campaign resources, while the Republican nominee faces limited fundraising and visibility in a district where Democrats have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical results. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, a late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related developments that alter candidate participation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题