Recent Léger polling shows the Parti Québécois leading at 30% ahead of the October 5 election, while the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec sit tied at 23% for second place, with the Conservative Party of Quebec at 16% and Québec solidaire lower. Regional fragmentation sustains the contest: Liberals dominate Montreal ridings among anglophone and allophone voters, whereas francophone support elsewhere favors the PQ, CAQ, and PCQ in varying three-way races. Recent gains by the CAQ, driven by older voters, have narrowed the gap with the Liberals and reduced QS backing. High undecided shares and shifting second preferences among decided voters keep second-place positioning fluid, with campaign consolidation, turnout patterns, and targeted regional appeals likely to determine separation among contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于CAQ 25%
PQ 25%
QS 24%
PCQ 24%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
CAQ
25%
PQ
25%
QS
24%
PCQ
24%
PVQ
21%
PLQ
42%
CAQ 25%
PQ 25%
QS 24%
PCQ 24%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
CAQ
$0 交易量
25%
PQ
$0 交易量
25%
QS
$107 交易量
24%
PCQ
$45 交易量
24%
PVQ
$171 交易量
21%
PLQ
$10 交易量
42%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger polling shows the Parti Québécois leading at 30% ahead of the October 5 election, while the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec sit tied at 23% for second place, with the Conservative Party of Quebec at 16% and Québec solidaire lower. Regional fragmentation sustains the contest: Liberals dominate Montreal ridings among anglophone and allophone voters, whereas francophone support elsewhere favors the PQ, CAQ, and PCQ in varying three-way races. Recent gains by the CAQ, driven by older voters, have narrowed the gap with the Liberals and reduced QS backing. High undecided shares and shifting second preferences among decided voters keep second-place positioning fluid, with campaign consolidation, turnout patterns, and targeted regional appeals likely to determine separation among contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
交易量
$332结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger polling shows the Parti Québécois leading at 30% ahead of the October 5 election, while the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec sit tied at 23% for second place, with the Conservative Party of Quebec at 16% and Québec solidaire lower. Regional fragmentation sustains the contest: Liberals dominate Montreal ridings among anglophone and allophone voters, whereas francophone support elsewhere favors the PQ, CAQ, and PCQ in varying three-way races. Recent gains by the CAQ, driven by older voters, have narrowed the gap with the Liberals and reduced QS backing. High undecided shares and shifting second preferences among decided voters keep second-place positioning fluid, with campaign consolidation, turnout patterns, and targeted regional appeals likely to determine separation among contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$332结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Léger polling shows the Parti Québécois leading at 30% ahead of the October 5 election, while the Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec sit tied at 23% for second place, with the Conservative Party of Quebec at 16% and Québec solidaire lower. Regional fragmentation sustains the contest: Liberals dominate Montreal ridings among anglophone and allophone voters, whereas francophone support elsewhere favors the PQ, CAQ, and PCQ in varying three-way races. Recent gains by the CAQ, driven by older voters, have narrowed the gap with the Liberals and reduced QS backing. High undecided shares and shifting second preferences among decided voters keep second-place positioning fluid, with campaign consolidation, turnout patterns, and targeted regional appeals likely to determine separation among contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题