Skip to main content
icon for 冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?

冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?

icon for 冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?

冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?

56% 概率
Polymarket
最新

56% 概率
Polymarket
最新
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland's closely balanced referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations stems from longstanding divisions over economic integration versus control of key sectors like fisheries and agriculture. The coalition government, formed after the 2024 elections and led by Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir, advanced the August 29, 2026 vote through parliamentary approval in May, framing it as a first step that would require a separate public vote on any final membership terms. Public sentiment remains split, with recent polls showing near-even support, reflecting Iceland's existing EEA participation and concerns over sovereignty, currency policy, and regulatory alignment. Campaign developments, shifts in economic indicators, or sector-specific debates on fishing quotas could alter voter turnout or preferences in the weeks ahead.

The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
交易量
$4,265
结束日期
2026-08-30
市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland's closely balanced referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations stems from longstanding divisions over economic integration versus control of key sectors like fisheries and agriculture. The coalition government, formed after the 2024 elections and led by Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir, advanced the August 29, 2026 vote through parliamentary approval in May, framing it as a first step that would require a separate public vote on any final membership terms. Public sentiment remains split, with recent polls showing near-even support, reflecting Iceland's existing EEA participation and concerns over sovereignty, currency policy, and regulatory alignment. Campaign developments, shifts in economic indicators, or sector-specific debates on fishing quotas could alter voter turnout or preferences in the weeks ahead.

The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
交易量
$4,265
结束日期
2026-08-30
市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过了吗?",概率为 56%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 56¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 10, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?"的当前领先者是"冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过了吗?",概率为 56%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 56%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"冰岛加入欧盟谈判公投通过?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。