In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于斯蒂芬·林奇 72%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 11.6%
帕特里克·罗思 0
最新
最新
2026-09-01
斯蒂芬·林奇
51%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
12%
帕特里克·罗思
41%
斯蒂芬·林奇 72%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克 11.6%
帕特里克·罗思 0
最新
最新
2026-09-01
斯蒂芬·林奇
$2,228 交易量
51%
安德鲁·齐尔伯芬克
$286 交易量
12%
帕特里克·罗思
$50 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$2,563结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$2,563结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary set for September 1, trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch at 43% implied probability, reflecting his two-decade tenure, strong name recognition, and $1.18 million cash on hand as of late March, yet challenger Patrick Roath has narrowed the gap to 37% through grassroots fundraising ($889,000 raised), endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, and a generational appeal at age 39 versus Lynch's 71. Roath's May 11 ballot qualification and recent criticisms of Lynch's avoidance of in-person town halls and debates sustain the tight contest, with withdrawn candidate Andrew Zylberfink holding 12% residual support. Independent polls, major endorsements, or candidate forums could tip the balance ahead of early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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