Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, who secured 65.8% in his 2024 reelection, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies's roughly $227,000. Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June 2026 primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the baseline partisan and financial dynamics present high barriers to an upset before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,471 交易量
$24,471 交易量
2026-11-02
尼克·兰沃西（共和党）
92%
亚伦·吉斯（民主党）
9%
$24,471 交易量
$24,471 交易量
2026-11-02
尼克·兰沃西（共和党）
$11,093 交易量
92%
亚伦·吉斯（民主党）
$13,378 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, who secured 65.8% in his 2024 reelection, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies's roughly $227,000. Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June 2026 primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the baseline partisan and financial dynamics present high barriers to an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$24,471结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, who secured 65.8% in his 2024 reelection, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies's roughly $227,000. Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June 2026 primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the baseline partisan and financial dynamics present high barriers to an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,471结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, including a Trump margin exceeding 20 points in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, who secured 65.8% in his 2024 reelection, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with over $2.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies's roughly $227,000. Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June 2026 primary, confronts structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the baseline partisan and financial dynamics present high barriers to an upset before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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