Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,577 交易量
$20,577 交易量
2026-11-02
克劳迪娅·坦尼（共和党）
93%
阿莉莎·埃尔曼（民主党）
8%
$20,577 交易量
$20,577 交易量
2026-11-02
克劳迪娅·坦尼（共和党）
$10,938 交易量
93%
阿莉莎·埃尔曼（民主党）
$9,639 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$20,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETClaudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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