Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district, a seat rated solid or safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, with a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Tenney’s established record, uncontested Republican primary, and substantial fundraising edge—raising over $2 million with significant cash reserves—have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, a veteran who advanced from her June primary, highlights affordability and veterans’ issues but faces structural headwinds in the district. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap in this low-uncertainty race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,577 交易量
$20,577 交易量
2026-11-02
克劳迪娅·坦尼（共和党）
93%
阿莉莎·埃尔曼（民主党）
8%
$20,577 交易量
$20,577 交易量
2026-11-02
克劳迪娅·坦尼（共和党）
$10,938 交易量
93%
阿莉莎·埃尔曼（民主党）
$9,639 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district, a seat rated solid or safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, with a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Tenney’s established record, uncontested Republican primary, and substantial fundraising edge—raising over $2 million with significant cash reserves—have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, a veteran who advanced from her June primary, highlights affordability and veterans’ issues but faces structural headwinds in the district. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap in this low-uncertainty race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$20,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district, a seat rated solid or safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, with a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Tenney’s established record, uncontested Republican primary, and substantial fundraising edge—raising over $2 million with significant cash reserves—have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, a veteran who advanced from her June primary, highlights affordability and veterans’ issues but faces structural headwinds in the district. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap in this low-uncertainty race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district, a seat rated solid or safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, with a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Tenney’s established record, uncontested Republican primary, and substantial fundraising edge—raising over $2 million with significant cash reserves—have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection prospects ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, a veteran who advanced from her June primary, highlights affordability and veterans’ issues but faces structural headwinds in the district. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap in this low-uncertainty race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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