Tim Kennedy's commanding position as the Democratic nominee in New York's 26th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent partisan lean and his primary victory in June 2026, which consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Forecasters have rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon's Republican nomination has drawn minimal outside investment or polling momentum, reinforcing trader consensus around a wide margin. A shift in odds would require substantial developments such as an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national political realignment favoring Republicans in suburban or upstate New York areas, or unusually high challenger turnout in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,592 交易量
$26,592 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$26,592 交易量
$26,592 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,424 交易量
94%
共和党
$12,168 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tim Kennedy's commanding position as the Democratic nominee in New York's 26th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent partisan lean and his primary victory in June 2026, which consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Forecasters have rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon's Republican nomination has drawn minimal outside investment or polling momentum, reinforcing trader consensus around a wide margin. A shift in odds would require substantial developments such as an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national political realignment favoring Republicans in suburban or upstate New York areas, or unusually high challenger turnout in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$26,592结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tim Kennedy's commanding position as the Democratic nominee in New York's 26th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent partisan lean and his primary victory in June 2026, which consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Forecasters have rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon's Republican nomination has drawn minimal outside investment or polling momentum, reinforcing trader consensus around a wide margin. A shift in odds would require substantial developments such as an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national political realignment favoring Republicans in suburban or upstate New York areas, or unusually high challenger turnout in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,592结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tim Kennedy's commanding position as the Democratic nominee in New York's 26th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent partisan lean and his primary victory in June 2026, which consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Forecasters have rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, voter registration advantages, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon's Republican nomination has drawn minimal outside investment or polling momentum, reinforcing trader consensus around a wide margin. A shift in odds would require substantial developments such as an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national political realignment favoring Republicans in suburban or upstate New York areas, or unusually high challenger turnout in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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