The Democratic nominee is positioned to win New York's 13th congressional district by a wide margin in the November general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched partisan lean across upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a clear edge in the June 23 Democratic primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican opposition remains minimal. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as solidly Democratic, consistent with its D+32 partisan voting index and decades of lopsided results favoring the party. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a weakened nominee, unexpected late-breaking scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,736 交易量
$29,736 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$29,736 交易量
$29,736 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$18,286 交易量
94%
共和党
$11,450 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee is positioned to win New York's 13th congressional district by a wide margin in the November general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched partisan lean across upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a clear edge in the June 23 Democratic primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican opposition remains minimal. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as solidly Democratic, consistent with its D+32 partisan voting index and decades of lopsided results favoring the party. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a weakened nominee, unexpected late-breaking scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$29,736结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee is positioned to win New York's 13th congressional district by a wide margin in the November general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched partisan lean across upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a clear edge in the June 23 Democratic primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican opposition remains minimal. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as solidly Democratic, consistent with its D+32 partisan voting index and decades of lopsided results favoring the party. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a weakened nominee, unexpected late-breaking scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,736结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee is positioned to win New York's 13th congressional district by a wide margin in the November general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched partisan lean across upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a clear edge in the June 23 Democratic primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican opposition remains minimal. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as solidly Democratic, consistent with its D+32 partisan voting index and decades of lopsided results favoring the party. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a weakened nominee, unexpected late-breaking scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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