Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district race, driven by the seat's consistent Democratic partisan lean in the Philadelphia suburbs and her established incumbency advantages heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee Aurora Stuski advanced from the May primary but faces structural challenges typical of the district, including fundraising gaps and voter registration imbalances. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical performance in this area, where Democrats have maintained comfortable margins in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, late campaign events, or significant developments affecting candidate viability before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,235 交易量
$19,235 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$19,235 交易量
$19,235 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$6,741 交易量
95%
共和党
$12,495 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district race, driven by the seat's consistent Democratic partisan lean in the Philadelphia suburbs and her established incumbency advantages heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee Aurora Stuski advanced from the May primary but faces structural challenges typical of the district, including fundraising gaps and voter registration imbalances. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical performance in this area, where Democrats have maintained comfortable margins in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, late campaign events, or significant developments affecting candidate viability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$19,235结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district race, driven by the seat's consistent Democratic partisan lean in the Philadelphia suburbs and her established incumbency advantages heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee Aurora Stuski advanced from the May primary but faces structural challenges typical of the district, including fundraising gaps and voter registration imbalances. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical performance in this area, where Democrats have maintained comfortable margins in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, late campaign events, or significant developments affecting candidate viability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,235结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Madeleine Dean holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district race, driven by the seat's consistent Democratic partisan lean in the Philadelphia suburbs and her established incumbency advantages heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee Aurora Stuski advanced from the May primary but faces structural challenges typical of the district, including fundraising gaps and voter registration imbalances. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical performance in this area, where Democrats have maintained comfortable margins in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, late campaign events, or significant developments affecting candidate viability before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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