Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's commanding fundraising lead—$294,000 cash-on-hand—and history of double-digit general election margins, including 59.5% in 2024 against Democrat David Robinson II, anchor trader consensus at 80% for a Republican Party hold in the solidly Republican SC-02 district (R+7 partisan lean, Trump +14 in 2024). A fragmented Democratic primary among underfunded challengers like Roger Pruitt, Robinson II, Zyon Khalifa, and Daniel Shrief caps Democratic odds at 21%, while GOP primary uncertainty between Wilson, Hamp Redmond, and Sam Gibbons fuels elevated pricing around 50% for leading candidate outcomes A and B alongside Other. South Carolina Senate's May 12 rejection of redistricting to dismantle the Democratic SC-06 seat preserves SC-02's favorable lines, with House advances on a potential two-month primary delay (from June 9) amid procedural talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,081 交易量
$30,081 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
民主党
21%
$30,081 交易量
$30,081 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,321 交易量
80%
民主党
$19,760 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's commanding fundraising lead—$294,000 cash-on-hand—and history of double-digit general election margins, including 59.5% in 2024 against Democrat David Robinson II, anchor trader consensus at 80% for a Republican Party hold in the solidly Republican SC-02 district (R+7 partisan lean, Trump +14 in 2024). A fragmented Democratic primary among underfunded challengers like Roger Pruitt, Robinson II, Zyon Khalifa, and Daniel Shrief caps Democratic odds at 21%, while GOP primary uncertainty between Wilson, Hamp Redmond, and Sam Gibbons fuels elevated pricing around 50% for leading candidate outcomes A and B alongside Other. South Carolina Senate's May 12 rejection of redistricting to dismantle the Democratic SC-06 seat preserves SC-02's favorable lines, with House advances on a potential two-month primary delay (from June 9) amid procedural talks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$30,081结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's commanding fundraising lead—$294,000 cash-on-hand—and history of double-digit general election margins, including 59.5% in 2024 against Democrat David Robinson II, anchor trader consensus at 80% for a Republican Party hold in the solidly Republican SC-02 district (R+7 partisan lean, Trump +14 in 2024). A fragmented Democratic primary among underfunded challengers like Roger Pruitt, Robinson II, Zyon Khalifa, and Daniel Shrief caps Democratic odds at 21%, while GOP primary uncertainty between Wilson, Hamp Redmond, and Sam Gibbons fuels elevated pricing around 50% for leading candidate outcomes A and B alongside Other. South Carolina Senate's May 12 rejection of redistricting to dismantle the Democratic SC-06 seat preserves SC-02's favorable lines, with House advances on a potential two-month primary delay (from June 9) amid procedural talks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,081结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's commanding fundraising lead—$294,000 cash-on-hand—and history of double-digit general election margins, including 59.5% in 2024 against Democrat David Robinson II, anchor trader consensus at 80% for a Republican Party hold in the solidly Republican SC-02 district (R+7 partisan lean, Trump +14 in 2024). A fragmented Democratic primary among underfunded challengers like Roger Pruitt, Robinson II, Zyon Khalifa, and Daniel Shrief caps Democratic odds at 21%, while GOP primary uncertainty between Wilson, Hamp Redmond, and Sam Gibbons fuels elevated pricing around 50% for leading candidate outcomes A and B alongside Other. South Carolina Senate's May 12 rejection of redistricting to dismantle the Democratic SC-06 seat preserves SC-02's favorable lines, with House advances on a potential two-month primary delay (from June 9) amid procedural talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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