Recent redistricting under Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has placed FL-25 along the southeastern coast as a D+5 district, providing Democrats a structural edge heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz faces primary challengers including Jared Moskowitz, who recently pivoted from the adjacent 23rd district, and Oliver Larkin, whose entry has produced a competitive Democratic primary per May polling. Republicans field Michael Carbonara, Claudia Villatoro, and others, yet face headwinds in a district that favored Biden by roughly five points in 2020. Trader consensus pricing reflects these fundamentals alongside early fundraising and generic ballot leads favoring Democrats, while primary outcomes on August 18 and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still influence the final result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,068 交易量
$18,068 交易量
民主党
63%
共和党
34%
$18,068 交易量
$18,068 交易量
民主党
63%
共和党
34%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting under Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has placed FL-25 along the southeastern coast as a D+5 district, providing Democrats a structural edge heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz faces primary challengers including Jared Moskowitz, who recently pivoted from the adjacent 23rd district, and Oliver Larkin, whose entry has produced a competitive Democratic primary per May polling. Republicans field Michael Carbonara, Claudia Villatoro, and others, yet face headwinds in a district that favored Biden by roughly five points in 2020. Trader consensus pricing reflects these fundamentals alongside early fundraising and generic ballot leads favoring Democrats, while primary outcomes on August 18 and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still influence the final result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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