Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida's 26th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed through canceled or uncontested August primaries. Mid-decade redistricting strengthened the district's Republican tilt, building on Díaz-Balart's prior strong performance and the state's overall GOP map advantages. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent's established voter base in a district without recent competitive general-election dynamics. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Republicans an 89.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the absence of late-cycle polling shifts or notable candidate developments that could alter the balance before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$64,612 交易量
$64,612 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
90%
民主党
10%
$64,612 交易量
$64,612 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$29,841 交易量
90%
民主党
$34,770 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida's 26th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed through canceled or uncontested August primaries. Mid-decade redistricting strengthened the district's Republican tilt, building on Díaz-Balart's prior strong performance and the state's overall GOP map advantages. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent's established voter base in a district without recent competitive general-election dynamics. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Republicans an 89.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the absence of late-cycle polling shifts or notable candidate developments that could alter the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$64,612结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida's 26th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed through canceled or uncontested August primaries. Mid-decade redistricting strengthened the district's Republican tilt, building on Díaz-Balart's prior strong performance and the state's overall GOP map advantages. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent's established voter base in a district without recent competitive general-election dynamics. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Republicans an 89.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the absence of late-cycle polling shifts or notable candidate developments that could alter the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$64,612结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETIncumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida's 26th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed through canceled or uncontested August primaries. Mid-decade redistricting strengthened the district's Republican tilt, building on Díaz-Balart's prior strong performance and the state's overall GOP map advantages. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the incumbent's established voter base in a district without recent competitive general-election dynamics. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Republicans an 89.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the absence of late-cycle polling shifts or notable candidate developments that could alter the balance before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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