Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win FL-24 due to the district's entrenched D+22 Cook PVI, demonstrated by Rep. Frederica Wilson's 68% victory in 2024, and its preservation as one of four safe Democratic seats under Gov. Ron DeSantis' new congressional map signed May 4, 2026. Wilson, the longtime incumbent, filed for the August 18 Democratic primary despite turning 83 and recovering from recent left eye surgery announced May 14 that caused vote absences since mid-April, with negligible challengers like Christine Sanon-Jules. Republicans field only underfunded Patricia Gonzalez ahead of the June 12 filing deadline. Ratings confirm Solid/Safe D status per Cook and others. Upsets could stem from Wilson retiring—prompting figures like Oliver Gilbert or Shevrin Jones—major GOP recruitment, or national midterm swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,745 交易量
$17,745 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$17,745 交易量
$17,745 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win FL-24 due to the district's entrenched D+22 Cook PVI, demonstrated by Rep. Frederica Wilson's 68% victory in 2024, and its preservation as one of four safe Democratic seats under Gov. Ron DeSantis' new congressional map signed May 4, 2026. Wilson, the longtime incumbent, filed for the August 18 Democratic primary despite turning 83 and recovering from recent left eye surgery announced May 14 that caused vote absences since mid-April, with negligible challengers like Christine Sanon-Jules. Republicans field only underfunded Patricia Gonzalez ahead of the June 12 filing deadline. Ratings confirm Solid/Safe D status per Cook and others. Upsets could stem from Wilson retiring—prompting figures like Oliver Gilbert or Shevrin Jones—major GOP recruitment, or national midterm swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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