Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 74.5% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's Cook PVI R+6 lean—ranking 179th most Republican nationally—and incumbent John McGuire's strong fundraising lead with over $1.2 million raised versus challengers like Bob Good and Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 Republican primary. McGuire's 2024 general election win (57%-42%) reinforces the partisan baseline, where Trump carried 56% last year. A pivotal development last week saw the Virginia Supreme Court strike down the voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving the current map and prompting Democrat Tom Perriello—top fundraiser at $1.4 million raised—to shift into VA-05 from the 6th District, boosting Democratic prospects to 25.5% amid a crowded primary field including Mike Pruitt and Suzanne Krzyzanowski. With filing deadline May 26, primary outcomes could shift dynamics in this Solid Republican-rated contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,217 交易量
$52,217 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$52,217 交易量
$52,217 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$23,906 交易量
75%
民主党
$28,312 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 74.5% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's Cook PVI R+6 lean—ranking 179th most Republican nationally—and incumbent John McGuire's strong fundraising lead with over $1.2 million raised versus challengers like Bob Good and Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 Republican primary. McGuire's 2024 general election win (57%-42%) reinforces the partisan baseline, where Trump carried 56% last year. A pivotal development last week saw the Virginia Supreme Court strike down the voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving the current map and prompting Democrat Tom Perriello—top fundraiser at $1.4 million raised—to shift into VA-05 from the 6th District, boosting Democratic prospects to 25.5% amid a crowded primary field including Mike Pruitt and Suzanne Krzyzanowski. With filing deadline May 26, primary outcomes could shift dynamics in this Solid Republican-rated contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$52,217结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 74.5% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's Cook PVI R+6 lean—ranking 179th most Republican nationally—and incumbent John McGuire's strong fundraising lead with over $1.2 million raised versus challengers like Bob Good and Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 Republican primary. McGuire's 2024 general election win (57%-42%) reinforces the partisan baseline, where Trump carried 56% last year. A pivotal development last week saw the Virginia Supreme Court strike down the voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving the current map and prompting Democrat Tom Perriello—top fundraiser at $1.4 million raised—to shift into VA-05 from the 6th District, boosting Democratic prospects to 25.5% amid a crowded primary field including Mike Pruitt and Suzanne Krzyzanowski. With filing deadline May 26, primary outcomes could shift dynamics in this Solid Republican-rated contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,217结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 74.5% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's Cook PVI R+6 lean—ranking 179th most Republican nationally—and incumbent John McGuire's strong fundraising lead with over $1.2 million raised versus challengers like Bob Good and Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 Republican primary. McGuire's 2024 general election win (57%-42%) reinforces the partisan baseline, where Trump carried 56% last year. A pivotal development last week saw the Virginia Supreme Court strike down the voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving the current map and prompting Democrat Tom Perriello—top fundraiser at $1.4 million raised—to shift into VA-05 from the 6th District, boosting Democratic prospects to 25.5% amid a crowded primary field including Mike Pruitt and Suzanne Krzyzanowski. With filing deadline May 26, primary outcomes could shift dynamics in this Solid Republican-rated contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题