Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in rural Southside and central Virginia, where Donald Trump carried it by double digits in 2024. Incumbent John McGuire secured the GOP nomination on August 4 with over 84 percent of the primary vote against challenger Melanie Lucero, while former Representative Tom Perriello easily won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical margins that limit Democratic paths to victory in the November general election. Trader consensus on Republican retention aligns with these structural factors and the absence of late-breaking shifts since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$63,658 交易量
$63,658 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
17%
$63,658 交易量
$63,658 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$31,290 交易量
79%
民主党
$32,368 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in rural Southside and central Virginia, where Donald Trump carried it by double digits in 2024. Incumbent John McGuire secured the GOP nomination on August 4 with over 84 percent of the primary vote against challenger Melanie Lucero, while former Representative Tom Perriello easily won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical margins that limit Democratic paths to victory in the November general election. Trader consensus on Republican retention aligns with these structural factors and the absence of late-breaking shifts since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$63,658结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in rural Southside and central Virginia, where Donald Trump carried it by double digits in 2024. Incumbent John McGuire secured the GOP nomination on August 4 with over 84 percent of the primary vote against challenger Melanie Lucero, while former Representative Tom Perriello easily won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical margins that limit Democratic paths to victory in the November general election. Trader consensus on Republican retention aligns with these structural factors and the absence of late-breaking shifts since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$63,658结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in rural Southside and central Virginia, where Donald Trump carried it by double digits in 2024. Incumbent John McGuire secured the GOP nomination on August 4 with over 84 percent of the primary vote against challenger Melanie Lucero, while former Representative Tom Perriello easily won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and historical margins that limit Democratic paths to victory in the November general election. Trader consensus on Republican retention aligns with these structural factors and the absence of late-breaking shifts since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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