Following Ohio's May 5 primaries, which pitted Republican incumbent Max Miller—unopposed in his renomination—against Democratic union ironworker Brian Poindexter, who prevailed in a fragmented eight-way field with 37% of the vote, trader consensus favors the GOP at 51% implied probability in this suburban Cleveland district. The R+5 Cook PVI, Miller's 51% 2024 general election win, and substantial fundraising edge ($1.2 million cash on hand versus Poindexter's $91,000 as of mid-April) underpin the slight Republican lead, despite Democrats highlighting Miller's past abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham and his May 14 defamation lawsuit against his ex-wife. Redistricting has narrowed the GOP margin from prior cycles, keeping the race competitive ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,152 交易量
$19,152 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
46%
民主党
40%
$19,152 交易量
$19,152 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,058 交易量
46%
民主党
$12,094 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Following Ohio's May 5 primaries, which pitted Republican incumbent Max Miller—unopposed in his renomination—against Democratic union ironworker Brian Poindexter, who prevailed in a fragmented eight-way field with 37% of the vote, trader consensus favors the GOP at 51% implied probability in this suburban Cleveland district. The R+5 Cook PVI, Miller's 51% 2024 general election win, and substantial fundraising edge ($1.2 million cash on hand versus Poindexter's $91,000 as of mid-April) underpin the slight Republican lead, despite Democrats highlighting Miller's past abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham and his May 14 defamation lawsuit against his ex-wife. Redistricting has narrowed the GOP margin from prior cycles, keeping the race competitive ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$19,152结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Following Ohio's May 5 primaries, which pitted Republican incumbent Max Miller—unopposed in his renomination—against Democratic union ironworker Brian Poindexter, who prevailed in a fragmented eight-way field with 37% of the vote, trader consensus favors the GOP at 51% implied probability in this suburban Cleveland district. The R+5 Cook PVI, Miller's 51% 2024 general election win, and substantial fundraising edge ($1.2 million cash on hand versus Poindexter's $91,000 as of mid-April) underpin the slight Republican lead, despite Democrats highlighting Miller's past abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham and his May 14 defamation lawsuit against his ex-wife. Redistricting has narrowed the GOP margin from prior cycles, keeping the race competitive ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,152结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Ohio's May 5 primaries, which pitted Republican incumbent Max Miller—unopposed in his renomination—against Democratic union ironworker Brian Poindexter, who prevailed in a fragmented eight-way field with 37% of the vote, trader consensus favors the GOP at 51% implied probability in this suburban Cleveland district. The R+5 Cook PVI, Miller's 51% 2024 general election win, and substantial fundraising edge ($1.2 million cash on hand versus Poindexter's $91,000 as of mid-April) underpin the slight Republican lead, despite Democrats highlighting Miller's past abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham and his May 14 defamation lawsuit against his ex-wife. Redistricting has narrowed the GOP margin from prior cycles, keeping the race competitive ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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