South Carolina's 6th Congressional District remains a focal point amid Republican-led efforts to redraw congressional maps ahead of the June 9 primaries, with early voting set to begin later this month. These developments, including committee approval of a resolution that could enable new lines potentially diluting the district's Democratic lean, have driven trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 72.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn, seeking an 18th term in a seat long shaped by Voting Rights Act considerations, faces uncertainty from these legislative maneuvers. The process could alter the partisan balance before ballots are finalized, though legal challenges and supermajority vote requirements introduce variables that traders are pricing into current odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,243 交易量
$15,243 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
74%
民主党
27%
$15,243 交易量
$15,243 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,555 交易量
74%
民主党
$6,738 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th Congressional District remains a focal point amid Republican-led efforts to redraw congressional maps ahead of the June 9 primaries, with early voting set to begin later this month. These developments, including committee approval of a resolution that could enable new lines potentially diluting the district's Democratic lean, have driven trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 72.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn, seeking an 18th term in a seat long shaped by Voting Rights Act considerations, faces uncertainty from these legislative maneuvers. The process could alter the partisan balance before ballots are finalized, though legal challenges and supermajority vote requirements introduce variables that traders are pricing into current odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$15,243结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th Congressional District remains a focal point amid Republican-led efforts to redraw congressional maps ahead of the June 9 primaries, with early voting set to begin later this month. These developments, including committee approval of a resolution that could enable new lines potentially diluting the district's Democratic lean, have driven trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 72.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn, seeking an 18th term in a seat long shaped by Voting Rights Act considerations, faces uncertainty from these legislative maneuvers. The process could alter the partisan balance before ballots are finalized, though legal challenges and supermajority vote requirements introduce variables that traders are pricing into current odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,243结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 6th Congressional District remains a focal point amid Republican-led efforts to redraw congressional maps ahead of the June 9 primaries, with early voting set to begin later this month. These developments, including committee approval of a resolution that could enable new lines potentially diluting the district's Democratic lean, have driven trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 72.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn, seeking an 18th term in a seat long shaped by Voting Rights Act considerations, faces uncertainty from these legislative maneuvers. The process could alter the partisan balance before ballots are finalized, though legal challenges and supermajority vote requirements introduce variables that traders are pricing into current odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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