Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois 17th District Democratic primary, bolstering trader consensus at 85% for a Democratic House win amid his strong fundraising—over $2.4 million raised—and Cook Political Report's Solidly Democratic rating for the district blending rural counties with liberal cities like Rockford. Republican nominee Dillan Vancil, a business owner who defeated Julie Bickelhaupt in the GOP primary, trails at 18.4% implied probability, reflecting fundraising gaps and Sorensen's 2022 victory margin despite rural GOP leanings. No public polls have emerged post-primaries, with the November 3 general election as the resolution trigger; national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in battleground areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
84%
共和党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$809 交易量
84%
共和党
$653 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois 17th District Democratic primary, bolstering trader consensus at 85% for a Democratic House win amid his strong fundraising—over $2.4 million raised—and Cook Political Report's Solidly Democratic rating for the district blending rural counties with liberal cities like Rockford. Republican nominee Dillan Vancil, a business owner who defeated Julie Bickelhaupt in the GOP primary, trails at 18.4% implied probability, reflecting fundraising gaps and Sorensen's 2022 victory margin despite rural GOP leanings. No public polls have emerged post-primaries, with the November 3 general election as the resolution trigger; national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,462结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois 17th District Democratic primary, bolstering trader consensus at 85% for a Democratic House win amid his strong fundraising—over $2.4 million raised—and Cook Political Report's Solidly Democratic rating for the district blending rural counties with liberal cities like Rockford. Republican nominee Dillan Vancil, a business owner who defeated Julie Bickelhaupt in the GOP primary, trails at 18.4% implied probability, reflecting fundraising gaps and Sorensen's 2022 victory margin despite rural GOP leanings. No public polls have emerged post-primaries, with the November 3 general election as the resolution trigger; national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,462结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois 17th District Democratic primary, bolstering trader consensus at 85% for a Democratic House win amid his strong fundraising—over $2.4 million raised—and Cook Political Report's Solidly Democratic rating for the district blending rural counties with liberal cities like Rockford. Republican nominee Dillan Vancil, a business owner who defeated Julie Bickelhaupt in the GOP primary, trails at 18.4% implied probability, reflecting fundraising gaps and Sorensen's 2022 victory margin despite rural GOP leanings. No public polls have emerged post-primaries, with the November 3 general election as the resolution trigger; national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in battleground areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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