Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The rural, central Illinois district stretches from the Champaign-Urbana area to Quincy and eastern St. Louis suburbs, a reliably conservative region that has supported Republican House candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Miller's strong primary performance and the district's partisan composition underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A major scandal, unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,426 交易量
$37,426 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$37,426 交易量
$37,426 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$19,352 交易量
95%
民主党
$18,074 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The rural, central Illinois district stretches from the Champaign-Urbana area to Quincy and eastern St. Louis suburbs, a reliably conservative region that has supported Republican House candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Miller's strong primary performance and the district's partisan composition underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A major scandal, unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$37,426结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The rural, central Illinois district stretches from the Champaign-Urbana area to Quincy and eastern St. Louis suburbs, a reliably conservative region that has supported Republican House candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Miller's strong primary performance and the district's partisan composition underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A major scandal, unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,426结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The rural, central Illinois district stretches from the Champaign-Urbana area to Quincy and eastern St. Louis suburbs, a reliably conservative region that has supported Republican House candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Miller's strong primary performance and the district's partisan composition underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A major scandal, unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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