Incumbent Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, defeating challengers in New York's 15th congressional district. The Bronx-based seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in prior results exceeding 50-point margins and consistent nonpartisan ratings as solidly Democratic. Torres benefits from established incumbency, substantial fundraising, and limited Republican opposition in the form of nominee Stylo Sapaskis. Forecasters project wide victory margins for the Democratic candidate in the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter outcomes in the remaining campaign period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$46,269 交易量
$46,269 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
98%
共和党
1%
$46,269 交易量
$46,269 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$27,052 交易量
98%
共和党
$19,217 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, defeating challengers in New York's 15th congressional district. The Bronx-based seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in prior results exceeding 50-point margins and consistent nonpartisan ratings as solidly Democratic. Torres benefits from established incumbency, substantial fundraising, and limited Republican opposition in the form of nominee Stylo Sapaskis. Forecasters project wide victory margins for the Democratic candidate in the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter outcomes in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$46,269结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, defeating challengers in New York's 15th congressional district. The Bronx-based seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in prior results exceeding 50-point margins and consistent nonpartisan ratings as solidly Democratic. Torres benefits from established incumbency, substantial fundraising, and limited Republican opposition in the form of nominee Stylo Sapaskis. Forecasters project wide victory margins for the Democratic candidate in the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter outcomes in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,269结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, defeating challengers in New York's 15th congressional district. The Bronx-based seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in prior results exceeding 50-point margins and consistent nonpartisan ratings as solidly Democratic. Torres benefits from established incumbency, substantial fundraising, and limited Republican opposition in the form of nominee Stylo Sapaskis. Forecasters project wide victory margins for the Democratic candidate in the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter outcomes in the remaining campaign period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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