The matchup between Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district drives current trader positioning for the November 2026 general election. De La Cruz advanced unopposed through her primary while Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in March, with the contest unfolding in a district carrying an R+7 partisan voting index. Fundraising totals show the incumbent holding a substantial cash advantage entering the general, though national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns among key demographics remain central variables. With the race rated Likely Republican by major forecasters yet viewed as competitive by prediction market participants, recent primary outcomes and early polling averages have kept implied probabilities in a narrow range reflecting uncertainty over the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于TX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
最新
最新
2026-11-04
Democratic Party
51%
Republican Party
51%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
Democratic Party
$1,172 交易量
51%
Republican Party
$1,298 交易量
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The matchup between Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district drives current trader positioning for the November 2026 general election. De La Cruz advanced unopposed through her primary while Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in March, with the contest unfolding in a district carrying an R+7 partisan voting index. Fundraising totals show the incumbent holding a substantial cash advantage entering the general, though national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns among key demographics remain central variables. With the race rated Likely Republican by major forecasters yet viewed as competitive by prediction market participants, recent primary outcomes and early polling averages have kept implied probabilities in a narrow range reflecting uncertainty over the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,471结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The matchup between Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district drives current trader positioning for the November 2026 general election. De La Cruz advanced unopposed through her primary while Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in March, with the contest unfolding in a district carrying an R+7 partisan voting index. Fundraising totals show the incumbent holding a substantial cash advantage entering the general, though national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns among key demographics remain central variables. With the race rated Likely Republican by major forecasters yet viewed as competitive by prediction market participants, recent primary outcomes and early polling averages have kept implied probabilities in a narrow range reflecting uncertainty over the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,471结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The matchup between Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district drives current trader positioning for the November 2026 general election. De La Cruz advanced unopposed through her primary while Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in March, with the contest unfolding in a district carrying an R+7 partisan voting index. Fundraising totals show the incumbent holding a substantial cash advantage entering the general, though national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns among key demographics remain central variables. With the race rated Likely Republican by major forecasters yet viewed as competitive by prediction market participants, recent primary outcomes and early polling averages have kept implied probabilities in a narrow range reflecting uncertainty over the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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