The Washington 9th congressional district's longstanding Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated strong performance in recent House elections, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic outcome in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and chair of the Armed Services Committee, faces Democratic challengers including Melissa Chaudhry in the August 4 top-two primary, while Republican candidates such as Janis Clark and C. Mark Greene present limited opposition. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 percent. This structure limits pathways for a Republican victory, though an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle shift in turnout could alter the general-election field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,211 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,711 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Washington 9th congressional district's longstanding Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated strong performance in recent House elections, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic outcome in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and chair of the Armed Services Committee, faces Democratic challengers including Melissa Chaudhry in the August 4 top-two primary, while Republican candidates such as Janis Clark and C. Mark Greene present limited opposition. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 percent. This structure limits pathways for a Republican victory, though an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle shift in turnout could alter the general-election field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,922结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Washington 9th congressional district's longstanding Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated strong performance in recent House elections, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic outcome in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and chair of the Armed Services Committee, faces Democratic challengers including Melissa Chaudhry in the August 4 top-two primary, while Republican candidates such as Janis Clark and C. Mark Greene present limited opposition. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 percent. This structure limits pathways for a Republican victory, though an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle shift in turnout could alter the general-election field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,922结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Washington 9th congressional district's longstanding Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated strong performance in recent House elections, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic outcome in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and chair of the Armed Services Committee, faces Democratic challengers including Melissa Chaudhry in the August 4 top-two primary, while Republican candidates such as Janis Clark and C. Mark Greene present limited opposition. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 percent. This structure limits pathways for a Republican victory, though an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle shift in turnout could alter the general-election field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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